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Storytime - How I underestimated the GME movement and lost a million dollars in the process

Storytime - How I underestimated the GME movement and lost a million dollars in the process
So little backstory. I've been around the markets for a while but I never did great or paid that much attention until I got into options in 2019. I'm pretty good with numbers and math was always my strong suit, so I felt this was a game I could actually be good at. I was. I turned 50k into close to 5 million this month (I have multiple accounts but IBKR was my main). Most of my big winners were TSLA options (bet big on Q1 2020 earnings using call spreads, and bought a bunch of leaps during COVID dip) and also put a lot of money into things that shall not be named except for in Elon's twitter profile.
Now to GME. I've been following WSB for over a year now I think, so I had seen DFV's posts. I followed a lot of the logic as I've seen short squeezes, gamma squeezes before, and I even followed the logic of the ITM options causing issues this Monday and Tuesday. So I had no position until Tuesday. On Tuesday, I saw not only did IBKR have over a million shares available to short but the fees were going down (I keep both the number of shares shortable and shorting fees visible as I believe this to be valuable information for investing in any stock). So on Tuesday with the stock trading in the 120s-130s, I thought this is going to be done soon.
Boy was I wrong. So I ended up selling 40 naked calls (1/29 $150) when I saw the prices of these spiking as well - average price of between $20-25. Big lesson - don't sell naked calls. I've done it before and it's worked, but it's not worth the risk. So arrogant me leaves these open cause AH trading for GME has been relatively stable. Then Elon tweets and it's all over. Even at the beginning of trading on Wednesday it looked like this bubble was about to pop, but then it shoots up to 365 and I'm liquidated for a total loss of around 1 million dollars.
So long story short, I completely underestimated the movement and I will forever regret being on the wrong side of history, but I submit my loss porn to all of you degenerates for whatever it is you want to do with it.
image not showing up? https://i.imgur.com/3TPJzWP.png
https://preview.redd.it/bzjl71vk4ae61.png?width=1036&format=png&auto=webp&s=3a07954f3fc4c8b0f4c359062a9b28d50819bbb3
TLDR: Sold naked calls (1/29 $150s), got fucked to the tune of 1 million dollars.
submitted by chandlerr85 to wallstreetbets [link] [comments]

EVE industry - the viability of mass production of ships

My best friend told me that he wanted to start producing things in EVE. While I have only played 2-3 months, and have not even started to consider industry a viable way forward, he has used many years to hone his skill in research, resources processing and production. He would like to focus and PvP, and instead of ratting, he thought that doing industry and earning your ISK in that way would be a better deal.
So, to see whether it would be profitable for him to start producing ships, we had a look at the the numbers. Even though it feels very meaningful to create something in the game, you won't be able to keep doing it, if you invest a lot of time and effort in it, but only end up in a break-even scenario when you start selling stuff. I understand that this is a tumultuous time in EVE, as markets are still adjusting to resource scarcity. Still, based on the current picture, the two of us concluded: It seems that it's rarely worth it to build smaller tech I ships, and the profit of tech II ships does not really seem worth the effort, unless you have a network set up that makes the production easier.
Since I'm new to the game, I am sure that I will have overlooked a lot of elements, which is why I wanted to post here. I realize that the following factors might impact on whether you can profit from building ships:
Given all this, I see how it can be done, but it seems that you really need the right set of circumstances to make it work. My friend has access to a sotiyo where he can build ships with 4,2% material efficiency and has access to a refinery, where he, with implants, can reprocess at 89,3%. And still, the numbers don't look good. The profit is really in the margins, and that makes transporting resources the biggest challenge, since the small margins mean that the time and effort spent doing this not worth it. Then again, I haven't used deep space transports or jumped between keepstars yet, so it might be this part I'm missing.
Also, one thing we quickly noted was that it was never really profitable to produce frigates and destroyers if you compete on the main markets. Jita is in some case the exception, since prices are often inflated for some products there (due to high demand and market manipulation, surely), but I gather that it would be hard to find a good null production facility from where you can easily move stuff to Jita. It seems that some people sell frigates and destroyers in mass, for prices where surely it would never be profitable to produce them. I would guess that to be down to four factors:
  1. Since frigates and destroyers are give as starter gifts, those with good programming skills, who create mass accounts and "farm" the starter gifts, will end up with a lot of frigates and destroyers and will want to sell these cheaply to get they money quickly.
  2. Alliances in faction warfare will often use alliance taxes to produce stuff that supports the war effort. Spitting out frigates and destroyers and selling them without any profit, in your faction areas, seems to be the way they sometimes do this.
  3. Some people have probably stockpiled a lot of ships back from when they were cheaper to produce. They might no longer be in the business, and are happy just to sell quickly, as long as they're getting a profit. Since frigates are cheaper, the margins seem less signficant.
  4. It seems that some places in low sec, like Misaba and Konora, use extremely cheaply priced ships as way of getting "content", as EVEsuleers like to call it. Wait until you get a notification that people are buying your stuff, and them camp the station and shoot them when they undock. This might not have a direct influence on the high sec markets, but surely selling that many cheap ships will put pressure on prices, and will influence the in-game estimated prices, which has an impact as well.
Below I will go into a few cases that studies to see if it would be possible to profit, based on the fully researched blueprints he had. In the numbers used, I based the mineral prices off the cheapest places where you can buy these minerals in larger quantities in high sec. That means the following prices:
Isogen - 40,99 ISK/unit Megacyte - 655 ISK/unit Mexallon - 133 ISK/unit Nocxium - 1.085 ISK/unit Pyerite - 17,39 ISK/unit Tritanium - 5,89 ISK/unit Zydrine - 1.388 ISK/unit 
So, in other words, even that is very optimistic, since it would mean a lot of resource transporting. Since suicide ganking in high is a very straightforward and low effort activity, where CODE have shown the way by doing it so well, and often very profitably, it seems to be all the rage with the kids these days. You can call yourself a pirate and laugh at the poor "infidels" in high sec, as they squeam under your rightful wrath. The frequency of suicide ganking has gotten high enough that transporting enough stuff to make yourself gank-worth is simply not worth the risk. This sadly means that everyone has to spend more time transporting less stuff. I reckon that in some places, placing a buy order to buy at a lower price might give you the minerals at a lower price and enable you to buy "locally", but I doubt you'd be able to get enough minerals to mass produce that way.
Either way, to the specific cases. Mind you, I didn't include brokers fee and sales tax in these calculations, since you might not sell the ships directly on the market or might sell them at a low tax rate. So, add that into the equation yourself (normally, you would subtract around 5% of the market sell price you expect).
Some of the numbers below factor in a 4,2 material efficiency. Those that do no are noted after the ship:
Tech I ships: Vexor
8.631 x Isogen = 353.784 ISK 304 x Megacyte = 199.120 ISK 35.092 x Mexallon = 4.667.236 ISK 2.466 x Nocxium = 2.675.610 ISK 113.811 x Pyerite = 1.979.173 ISK 531.116 x Tritanium = 3.128.273 ISK 1.120 x Zydrine = 1.554.560 ISK Mineral cost: 14.557.756 ISK Job fee: 263.060 ISK Total production cost: 14.820.816 ISK Market sell price: 14.990.000 ISK Profit: 169.184 ISK (1,1%) 
Tech I ships: Caracal
8.915 x Isogen = 365.425 ISK 475 x Megacyte = 311.125 ISK 31.299 x Mexallon = 4.162.767 ISK 2.845 x Nocxium = 3.086.825 ISK 104.327 x Pyerite = 1.814.246 ISK 464.726 x Tritanium = 2.737.236 ISK 1.196 x Zydrine = 1.660.048 ISK Mineral cost: 14.137.672 ISK Job fee: 253.108 ISK Total production cost: 14.390.780 ISK Market sell price: 12.000.000 ISK Profit: -2.390.780 ISK (-16%) 
Tech I ships: Raven
141.618 x Isogen = 5.804.921 ISK 5.368 x Megacyte = 3.516.040 ISK 567.155 x Mexallon = 75.431.615 ISK 35.357 x Nocxium = 38.362.345 ISK 2.264.259 x Pyerite = 39.375.464 ISK 9.055.325 x Tritanium = 53.335.864 ISK 16.864 x Zydrine = 23.407.232 ISK Mineral cost: 239.233.481 ISK Job fee: 4.433.426 ISK Total production fee: 243.666.907 ISK Market sell price: 275.000.000 ISK Profit: 31.333.093 ISK (12,8%) 
Tech I ships: Osprey
506.333 x Tritanium = 2.982.301 ISK 120.900 x Pyerite = 2.102.451 ISK 28.934 x Mexallon = 3.848.222 ISK 8.164 x Isogen = 334.642 ISK 1.448 x Nocxium = 1.571.080 ISK 826 x Zydrine = 1.146.488 ISK 166 x Megacyte = 108.730 ISK Mineral cost: 12.093.914 ISK Job fee: 213.824 ISK Total production cost: 12.307.738 ISK Market sell price: 13.000.000 ISK Profit: 692.262 ISK (5,6%) 
Tech I ships: Stabber
436.274 x Tritanium = 2.569.653 ISK 161.232 x Pyerite = 2.803.824 ISK 34.144 x Mexallon = 4.541.152 ISK 8.821 x Isogen = 361.572 ISK 2.372 x Nocxium = 2.573.620 ISK 1.062 x Zydrine = 1.474.056 ISK 209 x Megacyte = 136.895 ISK Mineral cost: 14.460.772 ISK Job fee: 264.567 ISK Total production cost: 14.725.339 ISK Market sell price: 13.500.000 ISK Profit: -1.225.339 (-8,3%) 
Tech I ships: Noctis
3.349.411 x Tritanium = 19.728.030 ISK 936.044 x Pyerite = 16.277.805 ISK 276.937 x Mexallon = 36.832.621 ISK 50.714 x Isogen = 2.078.766 ISK 24.631 x Nocxium = 26.724.635 ISK 6.876 x Zydrine = 9.543.888 ISK 3.161 x Megacyte = 2.070.455 ISK Mineral cost: 113.256.200 ISK Job fee: 1.941.915 ISK Total production cost: 115.198.115 ISK Market sell price: 124.000.000 ISK Profit: 8.801.885 ISK (7,6%) 
Tech I ships: Iteron Mark V
69.233 x Tritanium = 407.782 ISK 12.814 x Pyerite = 222.835 ISK 8.061 x Mexallon = 1.072.113 ISK 1.086 x Isogen = 44.515 ISK 310 x Nocxium = 336.350 ISK 93 x Zydrine = 129.084 ISK 21 x Megacyte = 13.755 ISK Mineral cost = 2.226.434 ISK Job fee: 34.877 ISK Total production cost: 2.261.311 ISK Market sell price: 2.260.000 ISK Profit: -1.311 ISK (-0,057%) 
Tech II ships: Cerberus
1 x Caracal = 14.390.780 ISK 143 x Morphite (73.260 ISK/unit) = 10.476.180 ISK 143 x Construction Blocks (6.500 ISK/unit) = 929.500 ISK 378 x Gravimetric Sensor Cluster (28.000 ISK/unit) = 10.584.000 ISK 37 x Graviton Reactor Unit (119.800 ISK/unit) = 4.432.600 ISK 72 x Magpulse Thruster (39.990 ISK/unit) = 2.879.280 ISK 1.281 x Quantum Microprocessor (59.280 ISK/unit) = 75.937.680 ISK 18 x R.A.M. - Starship Tech (370 ISK/unit) = 6.660 ISK 427 x Scalar Capacitor Unit (58.100 ISK/unit) = 24.808.700 ISK 427 x Sustained Shield Emitter (45.360 ISK/unit) = 19.368.720 ISK 5.335 x Titanium Diborite Armor Plate (11.520 ISK/unit) = 61.459.200 ISK Mineral and part cost: 210.882.520 ISK Job fee: 4.262.736 ISK Total production cost: 215.145.256 ISK Market sell price: 219.200.000 ISK 
However, for tech II ship you also need to do invention to turn a tech I BPC into tech II, I learned. So, you have to include the invention cost:
Create Caracal BPC: 57.731 ISK Invention fee: 75.708 ISK 1 x Decryptor consumed 8 x Datacore - High Energy Physics (1.106.000 ISK) = 8.848.000 ISK 8 x Datacore - Caldari Starship Engineering (135.200 ISK) = 1.081.600 ISK Total invention cost: 10.063.039 ISK 
So, now we have the invention cost, but factoring in the cost and the attributes of the decryptor will require us to find the optimal decryptor. So, we quickly did the math (Excel spreadsheet here):
So, in the end, we can see that using "Optimized Augmentation Decryptor" and producing eight Cerberus ship (1 run + 7 runs on the BPC after invention) will on average yield the best result. On average, if you buy enough decryptors and invention materials for the invention to succeed, and produce the ships from the resulting BPCs, you will gain 107.967.649 ISK in profit (much less, if you detract around 95M ISK in sales and brokes fees - assuming those amount to 5% for you). Mind you, collecting/build/buying all the materials for this is a great undertaking for most players, so it is not likely to be worth your time for the most part. Also note that this result hinges on you selling at an optimal market fee of 240M. People will be able to go elsewhere and buy significant quantities of Cerberus ships for around 219M ISK, so that's what you're up against (with the "convenience tax" of buying locally having to work in your favor).

Rigs from salvage
Since me and my friend had a lot of salvage from ratting, we felt it would be a shame not to use this as well. It seems that building rigs is quite lucrative compared to just selling your salvage. You can sometimes buy salvage quite cheaply, since the market for salvage seems less established than for other materials, and since it takes up hardly any space, you can transport it safely in small fast-aligning ship. However, due to the market not being very established, it's also hard to buy up huge amounts of salvage at good prices. Often the sell orders are so small, the time you spend click to buy or collecting it, means it was never worthwhile compared to normal ISK-making methods.
Rigs are somewhat easier to sell at a better price. Since they don't take up a lot of space, it's easy to transport them somewhere where the price is 15-30% higher than the low market price. Take it to Jita, but beware that you'll have to sell it quickly, because you'll be constantly undercut by speculative traders.
Note that some of the numbers for the rigs below are so small that they don't get to benefit from material efficiency if you produce just one rig (since you only use whole numbers, the benefit will be rounded down). So, if you produce higher quantities, the average production cost should be slightly lower.
So a few examples (beware! numbers are still based on producing from a material efficiency rigged sotiyo in null sec):
Rigs: Small Core Defense Field Extender I
4 x Tripped Power Circuit (2.400 ISK/unit) = 9.600 ISK 4 x Burned Logic Circuit (31.070 ISK/unit) = 124.280 ISK 2 x Ward Console (38.660 ISK/unit) = 77.320 ISK Total salvage cost: 211.200 ISK Job fee: 4.459 ISK Total production cost: 215.659 ISK Market sell price: 291.600 ISK Profit: 75.941 ISK (35%) 
Rigs: Small Trimark Armor Pump I
2 x Contaminated Nanite Compound (95.000 ISK/unit) - 190.000 ISK 3 x Fried Interface Circuit (1.816 ISK/unit) - 5.448 ISK 3 x Armor Plates (33.590 ISK/unit) - 100.770 ISK Total salvage cost: 296.218 ISK Job fee: 4.417 ISK Total production cost: 300.635 ISK Market sell price: 344.500 ISK Profit: 43.865 ISK (14,5%) 
Rigs: Medium Core Defense Field Purger
20 x Tripped Power Circuit (2400 ISK/unit) - 48.000 ISK 20 x Burned Logic Circuit (31070 ISK/unit) - 621.400 ISK 9 x Ward Console (38660 ISK/unit) - 347.940 ISK Total salvage cost: 1.017.340 Job fee: 22.483 Total production cost: 1.039.823 Market sell price: 1.290.000 Profit: 250.177 ISK (24%) 
Rigs: Medium Trimark Armor Pump I
11 x Contaminated Nanite Compound (91.040 ISK/unit) - 1.001.440 ISK 17 x Fried Interface Circuit (1.850 ISK/unit) - 31.450 ISK 14 x Armor Plates (35.020 ISK/unit) - 490.280 ISK Total salvage cost: 1.523.170 ISK Job fee: 19.634 ISK Total production cost: 1.542.804 ISK Market sell price: 1.601.000 ISK Profit: 58.196 ISK (3,7%) 
Rigs: Medium Auxiliary Nano Pump I
13 x Contaminated Nanite Compound (91.040 ISK/unit) - 1.183.520 ISK 20 x Fried Interface Circuit (1.850 ISK/unit) - 37.000 ISK 18 x Armor Plates (35.020 ISK/unit) - 630.360 ISK Total salvage cost: 1.850.880 ISK Job fee: 25.099 ISK Total production cost: 1.875.979 ISK Market sell price: 1.969.000 ISK Profit: 93.021 ISK (4,9%) 
Rigs: Medium Nanobot Accelerator I
13 x Contaminated Nanite Compound (91.040 ISK/unit) - 1.183.520 ISK 20 x Fried Interface Circuit (1.850 ISK/unit) - 37.000 ISK 18 x Armor Plates (35.020 ISK/unit) - 630.360 ISK Total salvage cost: 1.850.880 ISK Job fee: 25.099 ISK Total production cost: 1.875.979 ISK Market sell price: 1.871.000 ISK Profit: -4.979 ISK (-0,2%) 
Rigs: Medium Ancillary Current Router I
13 x Tangled Power Conduit (43.100 ISK/unit) - 560.300 ISK 52 x Tripped Power Circuit (2.400 ISK/unit) - 124.800 ISK 50 x Burned Logic Circuit (36.500 ISK/unit) - 1.825.000 ISK Total salvage cost: 2.510.100 ISK Job fee: 29.715 ISK Total production cost: 2.539.815 ISK Sell market price: 2.520.000 ISK Profit: -19.815 ISK (-0,7%) 
Producing fits
When you produce fits, you start having another factor introduced. Since many items drop from loot, this, of course, affects the sell price, since loot will be likely to be sold at a lower value and will sometimes flood the market. Eventually, though, the price of all items should at least gravitate towards their reprocessed value.
I was looking for some cheap researched blueprints to buy on contracts for my friend while I was in Dodixie, and I looked at some common items to see how easy they would be to sell. I think a fair amount of people can settle for a tech I tractor beam (and might not have the skills for tech II), and since it seems to be very rarely sold in some regions, I bet you could turn a nice profit from producing a fair quantity of those (similarly to the Noctis).
The numbers below are without the 4,2% material efficiency of a fitted null sec sotiyo being factored in (since my friend wasn't producing these and I just wanted to check them quickly before buying them). So, to get your number, simply subtract your material efficiency percentage from mineral cost.
Fits: Large Cap Battery I
4.574 x Tritanium - 26.940 ISK 1.734 x Pyerite - 30.154 ISK 1.307 x Mexallon - 173.831 ISK 4 x Zydrine - 5.552 ISK Mineral cost: 236.477 ISK Job fee: 2.831 ISK Total production cost: 239.308 ISK Market sell price: 230.000 ISK Profit: -9.308 ISK (-3,8%) 
Fits: Miner I
1205 x Tritanium - 7.097 ISK 438 x Pyerite - 7.616 ISK 109 x Mexallon - 14.497 ISK Mineral cost: 29.211 ISK Job fee: 485 ISK Total production cost: 29.696 ISK Market sell price: 12.500 ISK Profit: -17.196 ISK (-57%) 
Fits: Small Tractor Beam I
25.001 x Tritanium - 147.255 ISK 11.000 x Pyerite - 191.290 ISK 9.000 x Mexallon - 1.197.000 ISK 2.501 x Isogen - 102.515 ISK 351 x Nocxium - 380.835 ISK 148 x Zydrine - 205.424 ISK 80 x Megacyte - 52.400 ISK Mineral cost: 2.174.204 ISK Job fee: 33.450 ISK Total production cost: 2.207.654 ISK Market sell price: 2.150.000 ISK Profit: -57.654 ISK (-2,6%) 
Fits: Inertial Stabilizers I
1608 x Tritanium = 9471 ISK 274 x Pyerite = 4764 ISK 1 x Mexallon = 133 ISK Mineral cost: 14.368 ISK Job fee: 369 ISK Total production cost: 14.737 ISK Market sell price: 19.300 ISK Profit: 4.563 ISK (30%) 
Fits: Reinforced Bulkheads I
6.250 x Tritanium = 36.812 Mineral cost: 36.812 ISK Job fee: 1.103 ISK Total production cost: 37.915 ISK Market sell price: 38.900 ISK Profit: 985 ISK (2,5%) 
Fits: Stasis Webifier I
776 x Tritanium = 4.570 ISK 713 x Pyerite = 12.399 ISK 477 x Mexallon = 63.441 ISK Mineral cost: 80.410 ISK Job fee: 984 ISK Total production cost: 81.394 ISK Market sell price: 75.000 ISK Profit: -6.394 ISK (-7,8%) 
Fits: Warp Scrambler I
452 x Tritanium = 2.662 ISK 268 x Pyerite = 4.660 ISK 301 x Mexallon = 40.033 ISK 178 x Isogen = 7.296 ISK 4 x Zydrine = 5.552 ISK Mineral cost: 60.203 ISK Job fee: 984 ISK Total production cost: 61.187 ISK Market sell price: 54.990 ISK (much more expensive in Jita) Profit: -6.197 ISK (-10,1%) 
Fits: Multispectrum Energized Membrane I
5412 x Tritanium = 31.876 ISK 4063 x Pyerite = 70.655 ISK 1451 x Mexallon = 192.983 ISK 2 x Zydrine = 2.776 ISK 2 x Megacyte = 1.310 ISK Mineral cost: 299.600 ISK Job fee: 4.178 ISK Total production cost: 303.778 ISK Market sell price: 200.000 ISK Profit: -103.778 ISK (-34%) 
Since I did most of these numbers a few weeks ago, and the market is in constant flux, I hope it's still fairly accurate. Of course, the market sell price is just the leading parameter for bulk sales, but you can always make more than that from selling at the right market, where people will buy your stuff for convenience.
A few quick comparisons I did of compressed ores with their sales price and reprocesed value (using the cheapest values in high sec that you can get them in quantities for - be aware that they be more expensive close to you) while passing through space and looking to buy some (and later regretting it, remembering that the most inexpensive ores wouldn't be worth transporting 40 jumps, even compressed) - reprocessing fees not included in calculation, since they vary:
Ores: Scordite
89,3 % of 1 Compressed Scordite (2.411 ISK): 133,95 x Tritanium = 788 ISK 80,37 x Pyerite (17,39) = 1397 ISK Reprocessed value: 2.185 ISK Profit: -226 ISK (-9%) 
Ores: Veldspar
89,3 of 1 Compressed Veldspar (1.890 ISK) = 357,6 x Tritanium = 2.106 ISK Reprocessed value: 2.106 ISK Profit: 216 ISK (11,4%) 
Ores: Crokite
89,3% of 1 Compressed Crokite (975.000 ISK) = 714 x Pyerite = 12.416 ISK 1786 x Mexallon = 237.538 ISK 714 x Nocxium = 774.690 ISK Processed value: 1.024.644 ISK Profit: 49.644 ISK (5%) 
Ores: Bistot
89,3% of 1 Compressed Bistot (350.000 ISK) = 2.857 x Pyerite = 49.683 1.071 x Mexallon = 142.443 ISK 142 x Zydrine = 197.096 ISK Reprocessed value: 389.222 ISK Profit: 39.222 ISK (11,2%) 
Ores: Dark Ochre
89,3% of 1 Compressed Dark Ochre (600.000 ISK) = 1.214 x Mexallon = 161.462 ISK 1.071 x Isogen = 43.900 ISK 285 x Nocxium = 309.225 ISK Reprocessed value: 514.587 ISK Profit: -85.413 ISK (-14,2%) 
Ores: Omber
89,3% of 1 Compressed Omber (12.390 ISK) = 80,37 x Pyerite = 1.397 ISK 66 x Isogen = 2.705 ISK Reprocessed value: 4.102 ISK Profit: -8.288 ISK (-66%) 
Ores: Gneiss
89,3 of 1 Compressed Gneiss (277.000 ISK) = 1786 x Pyerite = 31.058 1339 x Mexallon = 178.087 714 x Isogen = 29.266 Reprocessed value: 238.411 Profit: -38.589 ISK (13,9%) 
Ores: Plagioclase
89,3% of 1 Compressed Plagioclase (8.480 ISK) = 156 x Tritanium = 918 ISK 62 x Mexallon = 8.246 ISK Reprocessed value: 9.164 Profit: 684 ISK (8%) 
Ores: Hedbergite
89,3 of 1 Compressed Hedbergite (258.000 ISK): 401 x Pyerite = 6.973 ISK 107 x Nocxium = 116.095 Reprocessed value: 123.068 Profit: -134.932 ISK (-52%) 
submitted by Asjo to Eve [link] [comments]

Daily Picks Thread - Sat. 19/09/20

submitted by Dink-Dank-Do to SoccerBetting [link] [comments]

I did simple math to know how long will an f2p/fish get a max con 5 star

(Someone help me if the flair should be tips or discussion pls, also sorry for the format, I'm on mobile)
TLDR at the bottom for lazy readers cuz this got unexpectedly a bit long.
(Edit: this is for long term meaning it'll take years so if you'll get angry that it only includes primos from dailies, then check at the end cuz I added other sources into the math)
(since people are not reading at the end, the mentioned years are only the WORST case scenarios and if you don't get your primos from events, mails, chests, or abyss. This was just for fun. If you're gonna come for me then read everything 🤡)
To get the guaranteed 5 star on the banner, you'll need to do at most 180 pulls.
 180 pulls = 28,800 primos 
To get the guaranteed 5 star on the banner and the 6 cons, you'll need at most 1,260 pulls or seven 180 pulls.
 1,260 pulls = 201,600 primos (wtf I can only imagine how much whales pull out of their wallets to max cons their 5 stars ;-;) 
If you're strictly f2p, not planning on dropping a single coin on the game, then excluding any events and abyss if you're weak for it/not interested, the only source of primogems you'll have is your daily commissions.
 1 day = 60 primos 
Since you'll need 1,260 pulls, that would be:
 60 primos × 365 days = 21,900 primos 201,600 ÷ 21,900 = 9.2 years or 9 years and 75 days 
This would mean that for a strictly f2p, at most you'd need to wait for 9 years and 75 days to max con one 5 star. Obviously it will be shorter if we consider the events, abyss, redeem codes, maintenance primos, being lucky in pulling, etc. But still, that's more than 5 fucking years to max con one 5 star.
Now, if you're a fish (someone who spend only a bit, on the welkin moons smth), you'll be spending like about $5 a month/$60 a year. That adds an additional 90 primos a day. The math would then be:
 1 day = 150 primos 150 primos × 365 days = 54,750 primos 201,600 ÷ 54,750 = 3.68 years or 3 years and 249 days 
...that's still a long time. BUT! 2.5 times shorter than being strictly f2p. Also, like what I said earlier, the time would be shorter than 3.68 years because of the events, abyss, etc.
Also, this is for the rate up banner only. This does not include the chances of getting the character in the standard banner from acquaint fates from the shop, summons, and/or events so the time also decreases by 1.3 years (for f2p) or 6.4 months (for fish)
So yeah, the idea of how long will it take for me to max con Zhongli on his rerun banner in the future made me do the math.
Am I gonna wait 3.68 years to max con Zhongli? You bet your ass I am. I downloaded the game because of him so I'm gonna main him and max con him 😤 (Cries cuz I won't get his weapon)
TLDR: This only takes account the primos that you get from daily commissions only (and from the welkin moon if you're a fish). This is the maximum time to get this many primos for guaranteed max cons 5 star
For strictly f2p = 9.2 years or 9 years and 75 days
For fish (only buys welkin moon) = 3.68 years or 3 years and 249 days.
(Edit: I did say in the middle that the years I mentioned were the MAXIMUM wait time. I also stated that the time will decrease by a lot because of other sources like the events, redeem codes, abyss, maintenance primos, being lucky in pulling, etc.
Meaning, if you don't do the events, don't claim the rewards/emails, don't do abyss and have terrible luck that you have to reach 180 pulls to get the character rate up cuz you lost in the soft pity then lost again cuz you had to reach all the way up to 90 pulls, only THEN will those years that I mention apply.
At the end of the day, this is just something that popped in my head and wanted to waste time for resin to generate. Please don't take it too seriously.)
Edit2: since y'all wanna be annoying, here's more math that includes chests, abyss, events (minimum cuz there is no exact), etc.
Adding to what's been mentioned, for f2p, if we include:
 500 primos from chests 600 primos from abyss, 6 stars every 2 weeks (1,200 if you 9 star all floors) 600 primos from events at minimum 
That adds up to an additional of 1,700 primos per month.
So, for f2p that would be 3,500 primos/month, 42,000/year, and 4.8 years to max cons one 5 star in their rate up banner.
For fishes, that would be 6,200 primos/month, 74,400/ year, and 2.71 years to max cons one 5 star in the rate up banner
This is assuming by the time you've collected all these primos is also the time their rate up is, otherwise the time is extended since you need to wait for their banner.
submitted by ThrowMeLotsOfCash to Genshin_Impact [link] [comments]

A list of every Unus Annus video name

I made a list of every Unus Annus video name. Posting this here because someone wanted to see it and a comment doesn't allow more than 1000 characters.

November 15th - Unus Annus
(note- The Very Start.)

November 15th - Cooking with Sex Toys
(note- 365 Days Left)

November 16th - Purging Our Sins with a Net Pot

November 17th - Hot Dog'd to Death

November 18th - Making Our Own Sensory Deprivation Tank

November 19th - The Good Kind of Cupping

November 20th - The Bad Kind of Cupping

November 21st - The Worst Kind of Cupping

November 22nd - Ethan Will Be Kicked in the Balls

November 23rd - Doing Each Other's Makeup in the Dark

November 24th - Baby Hands Operation

November 25th - Mark and Ethan Summon a Ghost

November 26th - 2 Truths and 1 Lie -- Waxing Edition

November 27th - Poopsie Sparkly Critters (a slime surpise...)

November 28th - Play-Doh Thanksgiving

November 29th - Helium Therapy

November 30th - Drawing Memes From Memory

December 1st - 1 Man 100 Accents

December 2nd - An A.I. Predicts How We're Going to Die

December 3rd - Mark Turns Ethan into a Mummy to Prepare Him for the Great Beyond

December 4th - The Cubby Gummy Challenge

December 5th - We Buy a Professional Hypnosis Video and React To It

December 6th - Mark and Ethan Attempt and Escape Room

December 7th - Ethan Destroys Mark's Van with a Bat

December 8th - There's Still Hope...

December 9th - Ethan Gives Mark a Viking Funeral

December 10th - The Great Meat Mistake

December 11th - Acupuncture Is NOT Painful

December 12th - Floating in a Real Sensory Deprivation Tank

December 13th - Mark Reviews The Impossible Burger But There's a Looming Sense of Impending Doom
(note- Paintball gun)

December 14th - We Made Nude Pictures of Eachother

December 15th - You made Beautiful Music for The Barrel... But Only One Could Win

December 16th - We Had To Drink Each Other's Pee
(note- The first of the Pee Trilogy)

December 17th - Ethan Explores Mark's Haunted Basement

December 18th - Giving Away Our 1,000,000 Subscriber Gold Play Button

December 19th - Ethan's Relaxing and Totally Normal Naul Salon

December 20th - Taped and Afraid

December 21st - What Was The Most Painful Thing We've Ever Endured?

December 22nd - Donating Toys to charity w/ JackSepticEye

December 23rd - Harnessing Our Dogs' Unlimited Energy

December 24th - Santa's Mukbang (Drinking 1 Gallon of Eggnog)

December 25th - Forcibly Turning Mark Into Santa Claus Against His Will

December 26th - Preserving Ourselves In Wax
(note- JackSepticEye was also here!)

December 27th - Beating Inanimate Objects to Death

December 28th - Emotional Pain vs Physical Pain... Which is worse?

December 29th - Duct Tape Crusifixion (Amy, Please Don't Watch This Video)

December 30th - You Blink You Lose

December 31th - 2 Grown Men Attempt the Presidential Fitness Test

January 1st - We Took The Polar Plunge

Janurary 2nd - Hiding Out Sins from Amy's Holy Peepers

January 3rd - We Eat Bugs

January 4th - DIY Bungee Jump (Please don't try this)
(note- Disclamer Song Origin)

January 5th - We Have The BEST Thumbnails on Youtube and No One Can Tell Us Otherwise

January 6th - Who Can Make Themselves Taller?

January 7th - The Sensory Overload Tank

January 8th - Recreating Ourselves as a Cursed Mannequin

January 9th - We Took an IQ Test

January 10th - Ethan Fianlly Becomes a MAN

January 11th - Mark and Ethan Go Casket Shopping

January 12th - We Take a Lie Detector Test to Uncover Our Darkest Sins

January 13th - Learning to Breathe Underwater

January 14th - Fixing Mark's Hole with Ramen but Every Time We Add Glue We Get 5% Closer to God
(note- The hole made in the video where Mark punched a hole in the wall)

January 15th - Mark Steals Ethan's Face

January 16th - You Breathe You Die

January 17th - 2 Absolute Beginners Experience the Dancing Glory that is Salsa

January 18th - DIY Geriatric Simulator

January 19th - This Is How We'll Die...

January 20th - We Cryogenically Freeze Ourselves

January 21st - This is What Being Tased Feels Like

January 22nd - What Happens When A Youtube Channel Dies?

January 23rd - Bad Bad Beans

January 24th - We hired a Real Hypnotherapist to Analyze Our Darkest Dreams

January 25th - We Turned Our Bodies Into Art
(note- painting each other naked)

January 26th - Mark and Ethan Lean About The Human Body

January 27th - Mark Punishes Ethan

January 28th - Strange (and legal) Things You Can Do With Your Body After Death

January 29th - DIY Cheese

January 30th - Hacking The Very Fabric of the Universe

January 31st - Looking at Long Lost Memes

February 1st - Discovering the Secret to Eternal Life

February 2nd - Turning Mark Into an E-Boy

February 3rd - Ethan Redefines Male Beauty

February 4th - Professional Fire Cupping (Going Even Further Beyond)

February 5th - An Extremely Sour, Not-at-all Sour Meal

February 6th - Literally Eating Fire

February 7th - Unregulated Axe Throwing

February 8th - Literally Laying On Broken Glass

February 9th - Making an Indoor Tornado to Flex on Mother Nature

February 10th - Nutball: The Most Dangerous Game
(note- First of the Nutball Trilogy)

February 11th - Becoming a Master of Mime

February 12th - Discussing the Idea of Murdering Each Other bit It's Just a Joke and Definitely Not Serious Haha

February 13th - Are We Already Dead?

February 14th - Our Perfect (and last) Valentine's Day

February 15th - Drunk College Party Simulator

February 16th - 10 Strange Amazon Paroducts Ethan Bought Mark Because He Doesn't Know How To Spend Money Responsibly

February 17th - Chickens Teach Us About Life and Death

February 18th - 3 Big Boys Attempt the Kings Royal Fitness Test

February 19th - Being Attacked by a Fully Trained Bodyguard Dog

February 20th - Learning the Ancient Art of Chinese Archery

February 21st - The Ultimate Trolley Problem

February 22nd - Goat Yoga

February 23rd - Edible Slime was a Mistake

February 24th - Granting Acces Into Heaven's Sweet Gates

February 25th - Long Hair, Do We Dare?
(note- With Marks Quarintine Hair, yes, he did dare)

February 26th - We Wrote a Hit Pop Song in 30 Minutes

February 27th - Mark and Ethan go on a "Drum Date"

February 28th - Blowing Our Souls Into Some Hot Glass

February 29th - Top 10 Worst Things Your Friend Could Possibly Spend Their Money On

March 1st - Nutball Extreme: Taser Edition
(note- Second of the Nutball Trilogy)

March 2nd - REAL Ghost Hunting at an Abandoned Zoo

March 3rd - We Bought a Camera That Can Look Inside Us

March 4th - Becoming the World's Greatest DJs

March 5th - Who Can Teach Their Dog a Trick the Fastest?

March 6th - Middle School Science Experiment Teaches Us About Life and Death
(note- Owl pellets)

March 7th - DIY Chiropractor

March 8th - Mark and Ethan Get Into a Fight

March 9th - The Barrel - Offical Music Video

March 10th - We Got Pepper Sprayed

March 11th - We Give Each Other Tattoos Blindfolded

March 12th - What Does Astrology Say About Our Friendship?

March 13th - Mark and Ethan Get a Full Body Scan to See What Secrets Lay Hidden Within (and learn their body fat)

March 14th - Mark Needs To Rub Ethan and Only His Mom Can Help Him

March 15th - 2 Idiots Get Crushed by 18-Foot Giant Snakes

March 16th - Beer Sauna: Turning a Portable Sauna into a Portable Hell
(note- The video where Pee Sauna was first mentioned)

March 17th - Mark and Ethan Hunt The World's Most Wanted Criminals

March 18th - Unus Annus Carves the Roast Beast

March 19th - 5 Weird Apps That Predicted Our Death

March 20th - We Tried a Labor Pain Simulator

March 21st - Recreating the Miracle of Childbirth

March 22nd - Mark and Ethan Are Now Fathers

March 23rd - We Force James Charles to Run a Military Obstacle Course

March 24th - Desperately Trying To Not Touch Our Faces
(note- Start of Quarintine videos)

March 25th - Reddit 50/50: Two Player Edition

March 26th - Going on an Internet Scavenger Hunt

March 27th - Having an Adventure In VR Chat Becuase We Can't Go Outside

March 28th - Amazon Shopping for the Apocalypse

March 29th - Whom Would Eat Whomst First in a Zombie Apocalypse?

March 30th - Ultimate Youtuber Boxing Showdown

March 31st - The Deep End of Omegle: Risky Boogalo
(note- This video was deleted for an unknown reason)

April 1st - Where in the World is Unus Annus?
(note- Timer was at 401 days)

April 2nd - Mark Builds a Pillow Fort for the Very First Time

April 3rd - Mark's 1 Weird Talent Leaves Ethan Absolutely Speechless

April 4th - Wikifeet: A Tale of 2 Tootsies

April 5th - We Made Every YouTuber Battle in the Hunger Games

April 6th - We Google Each Other to Find Our Darkest Forgotten Sins

April 7th - We Played Mad Libs and Ran It Through Google Translate

April 8th - Mark and Ethan Desperately Try and Nae a Single State in the USA

April 9th - Speed Reading 1000+ WPM To Gain a Complete Understanding of All Human Knowledge

April 10th - What is the Least Viewed Video on YouTube

April 11th - We Found Websites That The World Forgot About

April 12th - The Scariest True Stories on the Internet

April 13th - How to NOT be the Perfect Boyfriend

April 14th - Mark and Ethan Find The Lost City of EL Dorado

April 15th - Mark and Ethan Bet Everything on a Wikipedia Race

April 16th - The Creepiest Videos on Youtube

April 17th - Help Us Break a YouTube World Record
(note- The birth of Norbert Moses. The video was called "Subscribe to Norbert Moses")

April 18th - 2 Men 200 Accents

April 19th - The Illuminati... Do They Really Exist?

April 20th - Using Google Maps to Find the Lost City of Atlantis

April 21st - Reading YOUR Scariest True Stories

April 22nd - Mark and Ethan Take a Personality Test

April 23rd - Will AI Soon Take Over Humanity As We Know It?

April 24th - Running Internet Drama through Google Translate

April 25th - The Secret Unus Annus NO-Touchy-Touchy Hand Shake

April 26th - Two Male Men Judge Female Women on Their Beauty

April 27th - Bored? Press This Button.

April 28th - Don't Go in the Ocean... Ever.

April 29th - We Explore the Most MYSTERIOUS Mysteries of our Wildy Mysterious Mystery Moon of Mysteries

April 30th - We Looked at Unus Annus Memes

May 1st - Is Mark a Masochist?
(note- yes.)

May 2nd - What the Hell is a Pink Trombone?

May 3rd - Professional Fetish Scientists Rank the Best/Worst Fetishes of 2020

May 4th - Mark and Ethan Desperately Attempt to Feel Something

May 5th - An A.I. Generates Out Worst Nightmare

May 6th - Are Reptilian Humanoids Living Among us?

May 7th - Like It or Not... This is What The New Human Looks Like

May 8th - Eating Only Onions for 24 Hours: How Many Onions Does it Take to Kill a Man?

May 9th - Unus Annus ASMR

May 10th - We Attempted to Create THICC Water

May 11th - Making Our Own Gravestones to Prepare For Our Inevitable Demise

May 12th - How Tall Can A Human Get?: An Impartial Review by 2 Average Height Men

May 13th - Mark Teaches Ethan Korean

May 14th - Bigfoot is Real and It Ate My Friend

May 15th - The End of Unus Annus is Almost Here...
(note- The Halfway point)

May 16th - We Explore the Unus Annus Subreddit for Your Delicious Memes

May 17th - How Big Can a Nuke Get?

May 18th - How Much Caffeine Does It Take to Kill a Man?

May 19th - Drinking Real THICC Water... How Bad Does It Taste?

May 20th - We Played Strip Poker
(note- Mark lost so badly. Ethan also cheated on the first game)

May 21st - Harnessing Our Yodeling Power to End the World aAs We Know It

May 22nd - Mark Cooks Blindfolded While Ethan Guides Him Through FaceTime

May 23rd - We Played the Newlywed Game While Consuimg That Which Will Kill the Other

May 24th - DIY Boob

May 25th - We Have the Best Bellies on Youtube

May 26th - The Unus Annus Confessional Booth

May 27th - DO NOT OPEN UNTIL 2080
(note- Mark will be 90 and Ethan will be 83)

May 28th - Only UNUS-es May Watch This Video
(note- Unus vs Annus. Most Likes to Win.)

May 28th - Only ANNUS-es May Watch This Video
(note- Annus vs Unus. Most Likes to Win.)

May 29th - Only Watch from 2:15 to 6:11 --- DO NOT WATCH ANY OTHER PART OF THE VIDEO
(note- Annus Won)

May 30th - DIY Wine

May 31st - Tearing a Phone Book in Half with Our Huge Manly Muscles

June 1st - 2 Complete Amateurs Enter a Body Building Competition

June 2nd - BLACK LIVES MATTER. Resources and How You Can Help in the Description.
(note- This video was 8 Minutes and 47 seconds of silence)

June 3rd - Crushing Watermelons Betwixt Our Mighty Thighs

June 4th - Morphing Our Bodies Into Superhero Poses

June 5th - Reacting to Your Hilarious Green Screen Memes

June 6th - Mark Teaches Ethan to Read with Hooked on Phonics

June 7th - Ethan Roasts Mark of 15 Minutes Straight

June 8th - There's Something Horribly Wrong with This Picture...
(note- When they made their own creepy photos)

June 9th - Attempting to Build IKEA Furniture Without Instructions

June 10th - Mark and Ethan Become United State Citizens

June 11th - We Made Fanart for Each Other

June 12th - Our Fans Try and Scare Us with Their Homemade Creepypasta

June 13th - Recreating Childhood Photos

June 14th - Will We Break the Boards... Or Will They Break Us?

June 15th - Finding the Most Cursed Image on the Internet

June 16th - Learning to Cry on Command to Increase Our YouTube Views

June 17th - Pee Sauna
(note- The end of quarintine videos. Second of the Pee Trilogy)

June 18th - Building IKEA's Hardest Piece of Furniture Without Instruction is Impossible

June 19th - Becoming One With the Horse

June 20th - The Ultimate Paper Airplane Showdown

June 21st - Creating Mark FISHbach
(note- Origin of Mermer

June 22nd - Leaning How to Lock Pick (FBI Please Don't Watch)

June 23rd - The Most Dangerous Shave

June 24th - Ethan Traps Mark's Soul in the Palm of his Hand

June 25th - Bear Trapping 101: An Elegant Knot For An Elegant Beast

June 26th - 2 Men In a Trench Coat Teach You How to Save Money at the Movies

June 27th - Building the World's First IKEA Boat

June 28th - Ethan Teaches Mark How to Swim

June 29th - 10 Miracle Products to Give YOU the Thiccest Jaw on Planet Earth

June 30th - 2 Dirty Boys Wash Their Filthy Mouths Out with Soap

July 1st - Mark is Guilty. Ethan Has the Proof.

July 2nd - Recreating Mark's Childhood

July 3rd - We Put an Apple Watch in a Rock Tumbler

July 4th - Dummy Thicc for Dummies | A Tale of 2 Butts | Pushing Our Butts Even Further Beyond

July 5th - Reverse Engineering a Kite to Steal the Idea of Electricity From Benjamin Franklin

July 6th - The Candy Bra Challenge

July 7th - Mark and Ethan Look at a Puppy for 10 Minutes

July 8th - Unus Annus Try Pole Dancing

July 9th - This Is Hiding On Your Body RIGHT NOW.

July 10th - Tasting Weird Food Combos: Pickles and Chocolate? Ice Cream and Soy Sauce?

July 11th - The Unus Annus Space Program

July 12th - The Egg Smashing Game

July 13th - Can You Bake a Cookie from Cookie Dough Ice Cream?

July 14th - Bleachus Annus

July 15th - Dunking Oreos In Literally Anything But Milk

July 16th - Preparing a 5-Star Meal for Our Youtube Famous Dogs

July 17th - DIY Teeth

July 18th - How to Escape from a Hostage Situation

July 19th - Does This Magnetic Skincare Routine Really Work?

July 20th - DIY Bed of Nails : OH GOD, PLEASE DON'T EVER TRY THIS

July 21st - The Human Mop

July 22nd - Can Sound Therapy Heal All Wounds?

July 23rd - This Is The Most Dangerous Children's Toy Ever Made

July 24th - Would Chica Save Us From Drowning?

July 25th - We Do It Better Than Icarus Ever Could

July 26th - The Beginning of The End
(note- 110 days left. Start of the Desert videos)

July 27th - The Annual Unus Annus Dunk Contest

July 28th - Ultimate Horseshoes

July 29th - A Serious Conversation Under the Stars
(note- Last of the Desert videos)

July 30th - Recharging Our Phones Using Only Brute Strength

July 31st - 5 Products to Grow Your Patchy Beard

August 1st - Mark Teaches Ethan How to Play the Trumpet

August 2nd - Playing Cards: The World's Deadliest Weapon

August 3rd - We Lubed Our Floor For a Sliding Competition

August 4th - Breaking Glass With Our Screams

August 5th - This is Goodbye
(note- 100 Days Left)

August 6th - Mark and Ethan Share a Drink

August 7th - The Wubble

August 8th - Mark and Ethan Shave Chica

August 9th - DO NOT TRY THIS UNDER ANY CIRCUMSTANCES

August 10th - Judging Your Terrible Unus Annus Ideas

August 11th - Hydro Dipping a Baby

August 12th - Popping Popcorn with a High-Powered Laser

August 13th - Puberty Simulator

August 14th - Grip Strength Test: Loser Becomes the Winner's Butler for a Day
(note- Ethan "won" but Mark never became his Butler)

August 15th - Transforming Mark into the 8th Wonder of the World

August 16th - Momiplier Teaches Self-Defense

August 17th - Playing Children's Games in Total Darkness

August 18th - We're Better Than Dogs

August 19th - The Koala Challenge: TikTok's Intimate Couple's Trend

August 20th - 1 Gallon of Jello Nearly Broke Us

August 21st - Too Many Pickles
(note- The Video before the start of Camp Unus Annus)

August 22nd - Pitching a Tent in the Woods But There's a Bear 15 Feet Away
(note- Start of Camp Unus Annus. Mark was Blind while Ethan was Deaf)

August 23rd - How to Rescue a Cat from a Tree

August 24th - A Bear Attacked Us in the Middle of the Night

August 25th - How to Safely Bury Your Friend

August 26th - Team Building for 2: Trust Fall, Tug-of-War, and More!

August 27th - How to Start a Fire (except don't...)
(note- The infamous video where Unus appears at the window before Mark kills Ethan)

August 28th - Mark's Outdoor Escape Room

August 29th - Hunting HeeHoo

August 30th - Was 2020 a Bad Year for Unus Annus?
(note- End of Camp Unus Annus)

August 31st - Mark Gives Ethan a HOT (stone) Massage

September 1st - We Smell Every Smell

September 2nd - How Many Slaps Does It Take to Cook a Chicken?

September 3rd - 2 Boys 2 Poops

September 4th - Mark Teaches Ethan How to March in a Marching Band

September 5th - We Finally Drank Our DIY Wine

September 6th - 2 Adults Take a 4th Grade Math Test

September 7th - Making Snow Cones With Literally Anything but Normal Flavors

September 8th - We Attempts Pottery Without Amy's Help

September 9th - Can Plants Feel Pain?

September 10th - How Far Can We Chuck a 16lbs Rock?

September 11th - We Pierced Each Other's Ears

September 12th - We Ate Dog Treats So You Don't Have To

September 13th - We Accidentally Made an SCP While Amy Was Away

September 14th - BEYBLADE NUTBALL
(note- The Finale of the Nutball Trilogy)

September 15th - Making the Ultimate Unus Annus Burger

September 16th - Making Soda With Literally Anything But Soda

September 17th - Pee Soda
(note- The Finale of the Pee Trilogy)

September 18th - Learning to Use The Force

September 19th - Brick Soccer

September 20th - We Attempt to Make Holy Water

September 21st - Amy Sent Us a Mystery Box

September 22nd - Mark Knows What Ethan Did...
(note- Ethan cheated on the Grip Test Video)

September 23rd - This Video Will Never Make Sense

September 24th - We Attempt to Make UNHOLY Water

September 25h - We Will Churn Thy Butter

September 26th - Ethan Teaches Mark Gymnastics

September 27th - The Great Ice Cream Cake Race

September 28th - Mark Teaches Ethan to Wrestle

September 29th - Ethan Watches as Mark Achieves the Impossible

September 30th - Consuming the World's Hottest Chip

October 1st - This Video Went Completely Out of Control

October 2nd - The 1000 High Five Challenge

October 3rd - Bobbing For Apples But the Water Keeps Getting Thiccer

October 4th - Mark Breaks His Nose On An Aerial Hoop
(note- Was the second time in one week)

October 5th - Mark and Ethan Milk a Goat

October 6th - Shooting Archery ON A HORSE

October 7th - DIY Minesweeper

October 8th - Literally Finding a needle in a Haystack

October 9th - Drawing on Each Other's Backs in Total Darkness

October 10th - This is For FUN and NOT a Fetish
(note- They were in black bags with a vacuum to such out the air)

October 11th - Mark Conquers His Fear of Night Swimming
(note- Birth of the Gongoozler)

October 12th - The Painful Wolrd of Aerial Silks

October 13th - We Bought Every Grinch Costume on Ebay

October 14th - Pumpkin Taste Tier List

October 15th - Learn to Jump Higher in 16 Minutes and 16 Seconds

October 16th - Bobbing for Literally Anything but Apples

October 17th - This Video is Completely Unedited
(note- This is the video where they shoved Wax up their nose and Marks got stuck)

October 18th - Momiplier Tells Us True Scary Stories from Korea

October 19th - Pumpkin Spice "Challenge"
(note- Similar to the Cinnamon Challenge excpet with Pumpkin Spice and don't do this please)

October 20th - Mark and Ethan Build a Scarecrow

October 21st - Preassure Waching Our Sins Away

October 22nd - We Force Mark to Swin in the Ocean (HIS GREATEST FEAR)
(note- First of the Two Boat videos)

October 23rd - Fighting Fish to the Deathin in the Deep Blue Sea
(note- Second of the Two Boat Videos

October 24th - Cryptid Olympics

October 25th - Phasmophobia in Real Life
(note- Ghost hunt time)

October 26th - Edward Pumpkin Hands
(note- First Video in big spooky house)

October 27th - Blood Bath

October 28th - The Unus Annus Annual Costume Contest
(note- Second Video in big spooky house)

October 29th - Ethan Turns Mark into a Werewolf

October 30th - Ethan Kidnapped Mark
(note- Third Video in big spooky house. Ethan made Mark an escape room)

October 31st - The Truth of Unus Annus
(note- Final Video in the big house. They open the Custom Coffin and change from their clothes into their suits. 13 Days Left)

November 1st - Accepting the Truth
(note- They Accept they are going to die. They remain in their suits from this point onward)

November 2nd - The Unus Annus Last Supper

November 3rd - Being Brutally Honest with Each Other
(note- Mark cries)

November 4th - Recreating Every Single Unus Annus Video
(note- 45 minutes and 11 seconds. Longest video)

November 5th - All Our Video Ideas That Never Happened

November 6th - Who's Cutting Onions In Here???

November 7th - The 1st Annual Unus Annus Roast

November 8th - God's Fitness Test

November 9th - Saying Goodbye to All Our Guests

November 10th - Everything's Legal If You're Dead
(note- Cooking with Sex Toys 2)

November 11th - 7 Minutes in Heaven | 7 Minutes in Hell
(note- Ethan got heaven, Mark got hell)

November 12th - The Unus Annus Annual Sleepover
(note- The final video.)

November 13th - Goodbye.
(note- The final livestream.)
submitted by shayworld to MementoUnusAnnus [link] [comments]

Bearish on GameStop (obviously), but prefer to not go broke trying

Bearish on GameStop (obviously), but prefer to not go broke trying
Let me start by saying I spent a LOT of time in EB Games (for the snootier game player - Electronics "Boutique") and Babbage's as a wee lad. I've liked video games since I was exposed to the Atari 2600. The NES practically changed my world - it definitely added the occasional blister to my thumb. GameStop (Ticker: GME) is the remaining company having swallowed up pretty much all the other game stores (and closed many of them). Let's take a brief (for me) look at the bearish and bullish case and then provide a way that one can play these squeezes with a bearish bent without going broke. [insert this is for educational purposes only and realistically if someone *cough* that made $13M has a New idea, listen to them instead]

I'm Bearish on GameStop

But prefer to not go broke expressing that opinion. Look, I am not the first bear on GameStop and certainly not the richest. I can say that I won't lose 6 Billion shorting it though. Video games are as popular as ever, pulling in $180B in 2020 compared to a movie industry that sold only $42.5B at the box office in 2019. Why hasn't GameStop been rolling in the money? Digital. A *lot* of games are downloaded digitally, skipping the physical cartridge or disc. GameStop will get a boost from selling the new consoles, but the fact that both Sony and Microsoft offer "Digital Only" versions of their new consoles should be pretty ominous to shareholders. GameStop's big money maker historically was buying used games for a few dollars and then reselling them for Much Much more. The digital nature of many video game sales effectively cuts out this profit.
GameStop has also expanded into merchandise and electronics sales. I'll plead ignorance to how popular the first is, but I know I've never even considered browsing their site for electronics - I just assume Amazon (ticker: AMZN) will ship it to me before I even know I need it. For cheaper.

Bullish On GameStop

Why would someone be bullish on GameStop? Well the big 'news' is that they added some new activist board members with a lot of experience in "e-commerce, online marketing, finance and strategic planning". That was good enough for a 68% jump in the stock. Sixty Eight. GameStop is (and remains) one of the most heavily shorted stocks. So -any- good news can lead to a short squeeze and a dramatic rise in the stock. Very few people predicted this sub $5 stock would be all the way above $30 by January! Note, some did and they made a lot. ("Viewer discretion is advised" for reading those links. Note that this Won't work for most people, but their conviction was certainly impressive).
Oh, but wait, there's more:
GameStop - You all know this.
After hovering around 35-40, GameStop shot up on Friday to over $76, before selling off to end the day near $65. Then today, it hit a high of just below $160 before settling at $76.79 (editor's note - it's up in the aftermarket).
There are Lots of articles on the short squeeze, the Reddit vs. Short Sellers saga, that I encourage you to seek out - for entertainment if nothing else.

Bearish on GameStop - what to do?

I decided to put on a bearish play in GameStop, but (in my opinion) more importantly, I tried to take advantage of the ridiculous implied volatility in the name. I placed a trade similar to:

Bearish calendar in GME
  • Sell January 29th 50 put for 8.40
  • Buy February 19th 50 Put for 12.30
Debit of a bit less than $4 ($3.90 at the mid point). This trade profits the most if by the end of this week GME finishes at 50.

That's it?

No. Take a look at the implied volatility for these options. I'm selling an IV of 365% and buying one at 253%. In other words, I'm getting paid a lot to sell the option that expires near term and paying quite a bit less for one that expires longer term - a trade structure I'm happy to repeat over and over.

What can happen?

The ideal state is that the option I sold expires worthless (GME at 50.01) and the volatility of the Feb option skyrockets.
When the nearer term volatility stays more expensive than the further out expirations, one can often continue to sell options against the long. So this Friday, one could sell a put that expires Next Friday and take in an additional premium.
If you roll to a lower strike, one could turn the position into a put spread for a net credit. At the market close today, for example, we could close this week's put and sell the Feb 12 45 put, receive a net ~0.30 credit and a "free" diagonal spread.

What do you do if the stock keeps going up?

I was able to put this into practice today. I got out of a lot of my position when GME was trading well north of $100 - for a profit. The calendar had increased to about $7 for a 75% profit on this trade in just one trading day.

TL;DR - Bearish on GameStop

These types of run-ups occur from time to time. There are some that will make life changing money (see previous Reddit links). If you have some 'play' money and want to take a shot, go for it - but only do it with money you can afford to lose. As I can't watch the markets the entire time, I prefer to take risk defined approaches on favorable setups. When GameStop restocks the PS5, I'll use some of today's profits to their (dwindling) revenue and buy mine from there. Actually, I'll probably just wait until Amazon has it in stock (Disclosure Long AMZN!)
(Article copied/pasted from my website, so if a link didn't go through or someone things I'm 'leveraging' my own content - I gave me permission)
submitted by OptionSalary to options [link] [comments]

3 AM in Montreal

3 AM in Montreal, Quebec. Felt nice reading these posts knowing I am not alone. 10 years ago when I turned 18 (legal age here to gamble) my friends brought me to the casino in Montreal just for fun. Even though I was iffy about it and had a bad feeling about this place, I went to check it out and played $5 for the heck of it. Second time, went back with some close friends and hit that $125 "jackpot" at War and that was it. It turned the switch in my head. So many wins and losses mostly losses. Changed to blackjack one day when my brother taught me the game and lucky me had won about $1500. Followed by more losses. Some big wins (7-8k) then lost it all. Fast forward 10 years with so often on and offs, digging holes, getting back up and so on. My ex at that time left me and I don't blame her. Got myself a second pizza delivery job to pay some of it off. 2017 got a new gf, told her about some of my problems and promised to not do it again very supportive and helped me pay it off when i got a new job at the bank. 2019 when things were going, I gambled again and maxed all my credit after having it cleared after years that really fd me up, so I turned to making quick money to fix this. 2019 ending, got fired from my job. Mentally fd me up even more so I turned to gambling. Luckilly found a decent job in finance and decided to never gamble again. Everything once again going well with maybe only 15k in the deep from gambling (very fixable). Started trading stocks in March through August. Little did I know my gambling nature would impact my trading decision started taking big risks and thought of big WINS. During that time while losing in stock, friend showed me bet 365, was just betting small amounts for the fun of it. September 2020, I had ordered a ring for that same gf who supported me soo much and looking at my finances, stocks not soo good. So this one day in September I played a round of online blackjack after being free from card gambling for almost 10 months. I made 7k which would cover my gfs ring and told myself im going to take time off and not go back. September to October 26th while I kept telling myself I wont go back I was on my hottest winning streak of net $50k. I had lost my head, my whole life was uphill, I was living the life. I had enough to pay all my debts, my car , my motorcycle and still have a little left. Heck Come Ocober 27th, overnight I lost it all. Then it had hit me, I needed change, self excluded myself right away on bet 365. Started applying to new jobs and stayed busy with the interview process. December 24th, got an offer for a job but I was still unhappy about having lost all that money which could have given me a different life. Told my fiancée it was through stock trading and I would not do it again. During the holidays I saw an ad on casino.com, couldn't resist the thought of having that same streak on bet365 and fixing all my problems. Made 8k wow was feeling great. Nope, 2 days later all gone and another 15k on cc maxed out on top. Went through depression for the 10000th time. Told myself new job pays well and ill get a second part time job which to my luck oncd again a local mikes needed a driver and schedule works good. On last Thursday got an email, after self excluding from stupid casino.com, from casino tropez. I am so fked financially about 40k deep and supposed to get married in June, told myself IF ONLY I can make it back. These fkrs took another 2K of money I needed and have had to borrow. 20 and 20 I have, machine gets 21 with 4 cards and followed with 3 blackjacks in a row. Just some examples. Anyway I self excluded from all these online sh1t sites and hoping to work hard and pay off this mess and live peacefully with my partner who deserves much more. I'm tired of being depressed, sad, anxious and stressed. I wish gambling were illegal. Anyway I don't think anybody will read this because it's long but felt good to share this here and for everyone going through this, there will be better days.
submitted by Hopingfortheb3st to problemgambling [link] [comments]

Collect Data?

Ouch, I really don't know how to find this on the web, so once again Reddit is my best bet!
Context : i have a complex spreadsheet input , sometimes through the web thanks to collabora, but I notice bug due to sheet format inadapted so I need something better than a sheet. A database would come to mind.
Since I want web, first things I wonder is, is there a some web frontend to database i could host? Like you tell it which table and it does the html for you, so you connect and input.
Adding few users would be nice to have. If auth is not handled i can do it with nginx.
I will need to consult input data + static data, sql would make it ( sum, count - simple stuff). As long as I can save queries.
I say frontend to database but maybe there is something else. For example could certainly be done with some SharePoint / office 365 app.
Self hosted is nice if possible. But no confidential nor even private data, most related to gaming, so worst case it can be a bad firm that host the data, .
Can't wait to see the comments, thanks much. Usually i like simple predefined solutions but for this one I can adapt .
submitted by TheNinthJhana to selfhosted [link] [comments]

Alabama Slammers Franchise Report - Year 7: Win or Go Home

Welcome back to year seven of the Alabama Slammers Franchise Report! Here are the links to the previous versions if you want to catch up (2021, 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026).
We had a disappointing season last year, going 80-82 and finishing third in the division. The owner isn’t happywith my performance and I’m in the last year of my contract, so I need to win now. The problem is my budgethas been cut by $32m and I need to part with some of my best players. Hopefully, I can work some magic and retool our team enough to save my job while not completely sacrificing our future.
As with the previous versions, I’ll list the moves I made, the rationale behind those moves, the season results, and the future outlook.
Here are the salaries heading into the offseason.
\Unless stated otherwise, all players were re-signed to their one-year arbitration estimate*
Departures (non-trades):
Brandon Komar
Komar was going to be our best pitcher this year but suffered a 12-month setback during his torn labrum recovery. He was eligible to return during the playoffs but sent back to the minors. I wouldn’t be surprised if he never plays in the majors again.
Here are his ratings at the end of last season.
Ben Bowden
Bowden was good for us last season but wanted too much to re-sign. He signed a 2/$3.2m deal with the Rangers and ruptured his UCL in April. He looks like he’s done as a major league pitcher.
Ludwin Jimenez
Jimenez is a solid player but got pushed out due to better options. He has a good chance of being back in the majors next year.
Joey Lucchesi
I didn’t bring back Lucchesi because he thought he was a starting pitcher, even though he’s not. The giants paid him like a starter, and he performed like a reliever forced into a starting role.
Jack Walker
Walker got roughed up last year so was sent back down to AA. He performed moderately there and will probably remain in the minors next season.
Freddy Galvis
Galvis’s ratings have slipped below MLB standards so I decided to let him leave as a free agent. He didn’t sign with a team this season.
Jeison Guzman
I wanted to keep Guzman as a minor league depth piece, but he was out of options. The Giants claimed him on waivers, released him two days later, then he signed a minor league deal with the Marlins, was eventually placed on waivers again, and then claimed by the Mets. His journey around the league didn’t do him any favors and he looks done as a major league player.
Ke’Bryan Hayes
Hayes had a couple of good seasons for us, but I decided to go with other options. He signed a minor league deal with the Bandits and was decent.
Move #1:
Slammers Receive: Josh Sheppard, $300k Cash
Braves Receive: Jack Flaherty, Bruce Ledezma
So, I need to win this season to save my job, and the first thing I do is trade my best player to a division rival for a player that might help us in three years. If I get fired this will probably be the reason why, but I really need to clear some budget room and this is by far the best offer available. We lost $29m last year and the owner isn’t going to be happy if we do that again. Hopefully, Flaherty tears his rotator cuff in spring training.
Move #2:
Signed Christian Vazquez to a 2/$4m extension. The second year is a team option with a $500k buyout.
Vazquez doesn’t really do anything on offense but he’s elite defensively. Maybe I’ll keep him around until he’s 40.
Move #3:
Slammers Receive: Connor Jones (40% retained), Robby Teeter, Sam Lauderdale
Angels Receive: Jose Paulino
Paulino was great last season but I’m betting on him falling off sooner than later. Also, if he has another good year, his arbitration estimate will get too high for my liking.
Jones is a dominant reliever and he’ll only cost me $3m a year for the next three seasons. I know his age makes him a risk for injury and regression, but his high character should get him through the rest of his contract.
Lauderdale is willing to accept a bullpen role and should be good as a long reliever. He can also make spot starts.
Teeter has some of the best batting potential I’ve ever seen. He looks like he could put up 8 WAR with just his bat. He’s also got great character and has performed well in the low minors. His defense and baserunning are awful, but I think I can work around those. He’ll make for an excellent replacement for Ohtani if I can’t re-sign him.
Move #4:
Slammers Receive: Ryan Castellani (5% retained)
Rockies Receive: Jesus Atencio
I’m once again in desperate need of starting pitching, so I’m taking a chance on Castellani. Hopefully he can be a league average pitcher outside of Coors.
Atencio is a career minor leaguer.
Move #5 (part 1, part 2, part 3):
Slammers Receive: $13.1m Cash
Slammers Lose: J.D. Brock, Scott Kobos, Nelson Gomez
I’m probably going to need cash for draft picks and an international amateur, so I went ahead and started selling prospects. Some of these guys are useful minor leaguers but they’re probably not going to play in the majors.
Move #6:
Slammers Receive: A.J. Puk (75% retained)
Dodgers Receive: Jesse Lepore
Puk is pretty old but still looks like he could be really good. Hopefully my defense will allow him to excel. He’ll cost us about $1m per year for the next two seasons.
Move #7:
Signed free agent Blake Taylor to a 3/$9m deal. The third year is a team option with a $500k buyout.
The last time Taylor played for us he was an all-star and one of the top relievers in the game. I’m hoping he gets back to form after spending two years in the Coors pitcher torture chamber.
Move #8:
Slammers Receive: Taylor Walls (60% retained)
Pirates Receive: Rio Britton, Andy Clayton, Sam Thompson
I needed another infielder after Hayes left in free agency and Walls was available on the trading block. He’s been pretty good the last couple of years and will cost a little under $4m a year for the next two seasons. Clayton is the only player I didn’t want to part with, but I think his odds of reaching the majors are slim.
Move #9:
Signed free agent Hee-Joon Bang to a 3/$22.5m contract.
This signing is directly tied to the next move. I’ll try to justify it below.
Move #10:
Slammers Receive: Clayton Andrews (10% retained), Hunter Mink
Mariners Receive: Jordan Alvarez
Alvarez is really good but he’s probably going to be really expensive his last two arbitration years. He’ll make $5m this season, $6.5m next season, then probably $10m+ the two years after that. I decided I’d rather lock in Bang at $7.5m for the next three years than play the arbitration game with Alvarez. Also, Bang is durable and better fits my system.
Andrews is a really good lefty reliever that will fill the middle relief spot vacated by Lucchesi and Fink will get a shot at the starting rotation. This seems like a great deal in the aggregate.
Final Financial Situation:
The owner dropped our budget another $2m at the start of the preseason, so we only have about $11m in available funds heading into the season. If I need a pitcher, I’ll spend the money on one of those over signing draft picks since we need to win now.
Here are the salaries heading into the season.
Move #11:
Slammers Receive: $1m Cash
Royals Receive: Luis Araujo
Here’s our annual “prospect for cash” trade. I don’t think I’ve given up anything of value in one of these yet.
Season Outlook:
I’d say we have about a 60% chance of making the playoffs. I probably could’ve done more to win now but would’ve had to give up too much. Even if I have a winning record this year, I’m probably not going to do enough to get a multi-year extension, so I need to plan for winning next season too.
The pitching is mediocre, the bullpen should be dominant, the offense should be better with a full season of Bernal, and the defense should be elite. We have a good amount of pitching depth in the minors, and a moderate amount of position player depth. Hopefully, we stay healthy and win more games than we lose.
Batters:
Primary Lineup vs. RHP when Healthy (\DH enabled in both leagues)*
3B – Nick Gordon
I moved Gordon back to the leadoff spot after a strong 2026 campaign, but he struggled and ended the year on the bench. He’s an upcoming free agent and probably won’t return.
LF – Jeisson Rosario
Rosario had a monster season. He had an OPS+ of 124 and won his first gold glove. I doubt he can keep up his .387 BABIP but he should be an above average player going forward.
He sent me a message in May saying he wanted an extension, so I asked and couldn’t believe how low his demands were. He wanted 3/$5.7m but I decided he deserved more and offered 3/$6m. He accepted and now I have one of the best value contracts in the game.
1B – Ernesto Bernal
I had high expectations for Bernal after his great rookie season, but he was pretty underwhelming. It looks like he had some bad luck with his .261 BABIP, so hopefully he bounces back next year. I need him to be good.
DH – Shohei Ohtani
Ohtani was amazing this year. He was the hitter of the month for May and June, was named an all-star starter, won the platinum stick award at DH, and was named MVP. He also made a really strong run at the triple crown.
He’s been our best player since the day he arrived and is the undisputed face of the franchise. I want to bring him back, but I don’t think I can afford his 7/$245m demand. I’m hoping I can get him for around 4/$120 in free agency, but I honestly have no clue how the AI teams will value him with his pitching ratings.
RF – Will Shirah
Shirah had another solid year but missed the last month of the season to injury. He’ll probably be back.
2B – Taylor Walls
Walls was a great acquisition. He ended up replacing Gordon in the leadoff spot and won his first gold glove at second base. He has one year remaining on his contract that I’ll have to pay about $4m of.
C – Christian Vazquez
It seems like whoever I name the starting catcher is bound to have a bad season and be replaced by the backup. Vazquez was really bad the first half of the year, missed four weeks to injury, was moved to the bench when he returned, then played better after that. I’ll bring him back as the number two catcher next season.
SS – Willie Vega
Vega continues to be excellent in the field. He had a zone rating of 28.4 and won his second straight gold glove. He’s improved offensively and I’m hoping he can be a league average hitter next year. I might look to lock him up long term so I’m not paying market value for a 7 WAR short stop in a few seasons.
CF – Franyel Baez
Baez has been a steady presence for us the last four seasons, providing excellent center field defense and competent offense. I should have a couple of in-house replacements ready by the time he hits free agency.
Bench
C – Drew Romo
Romo is the best defensive catcher in the game and had his best offensive season yet. He’ll be the starter next year.
IF – Marcelo Mayer
Mayer had one good year in 2025 but hasn’t done much since. He started off the season in the majors so I could keep my top prospect in AAA and then was sent down to AAA himself halfway through the year. An injury to Walls forced him back up the next day but he was sent back down when Walls returned and finished the year in AAA.
OF – Matt Hogan
Hogan had an amazing 2025 season, but I think that was a mirage. He’s been bad the last two seasons and probably won’t be back for a third. I’ll give one of my minor leaguers a shot at the fourth outfielder position.
Replacements
IF – Josh Epps
Epps was number one on my top prospects list last season and was ready to start the season in the majors, but I kept him in the minors to get another year of control. He was called up halfway through the season to replace Mayer as the utility infielder but was forced into a starting role when Walls went down to injury the next day. Epps played so well I had to leave him in the starting lineup when Walls returned, and he looks like he’ll be a top performer for many years to come.
C – Roberto Alvarez
Alvarez was called up for a few weeks when Vazquez was injured and was pretty bad. He’s out of options years so won’t return if someone picks him up on waivers.
OF – Christian Moore
Moore was forced up again this season due to injuries and was actually pretty good after a rough first few games. He was the starter the last couple weeks of the season and will be in consideration for a role next season.
OF – Tim Mehler
Mehler was called up when Hogan and Shirah were both injured, and my AA and AAA replacements were also injured. He’ll start next season at AA and hopefully improves his contact before getting called up again.
Pitchers:
Pitching Staff when Healthy
SP – Justin Steele
Steele wasn’t very good and couldn’t stay on the field due to injuries, so I shipped him off in June.
Move #12:
Slammers Receive: Mike Ruhs
Indians Receive: Justin Steele (100% retained)
This isn’t a great value trade, but it was better than the alternative of releasing Steele or letting him continue to play poorly. Ruhs should be a member of the bullpen sooner than later.
SP – Rawley Hector
Hector looks like he should be better but he’s just kind of average. The only problem I can find is he has a poor relationship with the bench coach. Hopefully, he’s better next season.
SP – Cooper Benson
Benson is a perfectly average starter and should be back next season.
SP – Ryan Castellani
Castellani was below average but healthy. I have him signed for one more year cheap, so he will return if better options don’t emerge.
SP – A.J. Puk
Puk was decent and should return. Maybe he’ll have a breakout season next year and get me a compensation pick.
CL – Hee-Joon Bang
Bang did about what I expected. He was an all-star, won pitcher of the month in July, and was voted the reliever of the year. He’ll be back next season.
SU – Connor Jones
Jones was dominant. He had an FIP of 2.52 and finished second in the reliever of the year voting. I have him under contract for two more seasons, so he will return.
MR – Curtis Taylor
Taylor was really good and should be back. He has a few more years of team control.
MR – Andres Nunez
Nunez has been solid for five seasons with us and will be back for his last arbitration season.
MR – Blake Taylor
I was hoping Taylor would bounce back after getting away from Coors field and he did. He’ll be back for two more seasons at $3m per year.
MR – Clayton Andrews
Andrews struggled to start the year but came on strong late. He’ll be back for his last arbitration season.
MR – Corbin Clouse
Clouse has been a steady presence for six years but is about to enter free agency. I might bring him back if I can’t find a suitable lefty replacement.
LR – Sam Lauderdale
Lauderdale filled his role perfectly. He provided league average performance during garbage time innings. He’ll be back next season.
LR – Argenis Angulo
Angulo has improved significantly since last season. I wish he would have done this before his last arbitration season, but he didn’t, so I’m probably going to lose him as a free agent.
Replacements
SP – Hunter Mink
Mink filled in for Steele during his multiple IL stints early in the year, then replaced him full time when he was traded. He was my best pitcher the first half of the season, winning pitcher of the month in June and making the all-star team but fell off later in the year. He’ll be back next season.
SP – Seth Halvorsen
Halvorsen had to make a couple of emergency starts and got roughed up. He might return as a long reliever next season.
MR – Willie Rosas
Rosas had an interesting journey to the majors. He went from potential ace in 2022 to complete bust in 2023and has now become a top bullpen option. He was called up when rosters expanded and pitched really well. He’ll have a spot next season.
My only concern is he might expect to be a starter sooner than later and I don’t want him starting with that movement.
SP – Pat Dibartolo
Dibartolo was called up in early August as an injury replacement, sent back down at the end of the month, then called back up again when rosters expanded. He was part of the six-man rotation the last month of the season and pitched really well. I really needed a prankster, so he will definitely return.
Season Results:
We avoided the slow start from last season and played well the first half of the year, going 44-37 and remaining within three games of the division leading Marlins. The starting pitching was shaky, but the bullpen was lights out and Ohtani was playing like a golden god. He had an OPS+ over 200 and was on pace for 10.6 WAR at the halfway point.
We continued to play well the third quarter of the year but so did the Braves and Marlins. We were 68-54 and third in the division, 2 ½ games behind the leader. The Marlins slipped a bit late and the race came down to us and the Braves. We were one game back with 20 games remaining but couldn’t make up any ground and remained one back with seven games left. Our last two series of the year were against the Braves and Cardinals. We took three of four against the Braves to take the division lead for the first time all year, then swept the Cardinals to lock up the division. Considering what was on the line this season, this was a huge accomplishment.
We had some difficult decisions heading into the playoffs. Shirah was injured for two more days and not allowed on the playoff roster, and Mehler was called up too late to be eligible. I debated transferring Shirah to the 60-day IL to allow Mehler to play but decided to try my luck without a fourth outfielder so Shirah could come back the next round.
I had six solid starters heading into the playoffs and went with Mink, Dibartolo, Puk, and Benson for the rotation and moved Hector and Castellani to the bullpen. It was tough to leave out Hector, but it doesn’t really make sense to keep a five man rotation.
Our first-round opponent was the 90-72 Phillies, led by Eloy Jimenez. We started off the series great with a 7-0 victory and got seven shutout innings from Mink. Then they bounced back to win game two 9-3, then game three 5-0. Our offense was struggling but came to life in the last three games as we won those 13-6, 14-5, and 9-0. Vega was named series MVP and Shirah is now eligible to return for the next round.
Next up was the 102-60 Brewers, led by Luke Leto and Christian Yelich. They were loaded with talent and had the best record in the NL. We lost a tight one 3-4 in game one but evened the series with a 4-2 game two victory. Romo had four RBIs and Dibartolo gave us eight innings of two-run ball. We then took a 3-1 series lead behind two great pitching performances in games three and four. Mink gave us nine shutout innings in a 1-0 game three victory and Puk pitched six scorless in a 3-0 game four win. The Brewers weren’t ready to go home yet and won games five and six. They knocked out Benson and Dibartolo early in each game, winning them 5-2 and 7-1. Our postseason ace Mink started game seven and gave us six innings of three run work, which was enough for an 8-3 victory. Romo was named series MVP.
I wasn’t too surprised by the first-round victory but couldn’t believe we beat the Brewers. They were by far the superior team on paper. We’re playing with house money at this point and anything else is a bonus.
Our next opponent was the 105-57 Mariners. They had the best offense and defense in the league and a star-studded roster. The rotation was led by Jose Corniell, the lineup by Cody Bellinger, and the bullpen had five all-world relievers with Jordan Alvarez, Edwin Diaz, Josh Hader, Andres Munoz, and Gerardo Cuevas. This is the classic David vs. Goliath matchup.
We had a tough start the series. Corniell pitched nine innings and gave up one run in a 5-1 game one loss, Benson was roughed up early in a 7-0 game two defeat, then we were shutout again in a 2-0 game three loss. I had a feeling we’d have trouble scoring against them and we did. We avoided the sweep with a 6-2 game four victory, then won game five after an eighth inning rally and blown save by Cuevas. We were heading back to Seattle for game six and had momentum on our side. We knocked out McCullers in the first inning and took an easy victory, tying the series 3-3. Benson gave up 1 run over 7.2 innings.
So here we are, a team with a manager on the hotseat and just hoping to have a winning record, and we’re one game away from winning the World Series.
The pitching matchup for the final game was the rookie Dibartolo vs. Evan Taylor. We started off great with solo shots in the first and third from Rosario and Baez and a 2-0 lead, but they rallied back with a 3-run fourth to go up 3-2. Dibartolo settled down and pitched another 1.2 innings before Nunez took over in the sixth inning. Moore reached base on a two-out single in the top of the seventh, then advanced to second on an error on a pick-off attempt. Baez drove him in on a single, tying the game 3-3. There were a few close calls, but the score remained 3-3 at the end of nine. Angulo pitched 3 scoreless relief innings, with 2.2 of those coming in extra innings, and struck out five. He kept us alive until Taylor took over with one out in the twelfth and ended the inning. Their bullpen was thin due to knocking out their starters early in games five and six, so McCullers started the thirteenth despite getting rocked just the day before. Walls hit a one out solo shot, then Rosario and Bernal singled before they intentionally walked Ohtani to load the bases. It looked like we were about to blow it wide open, but Epps struck out and Romo flew out to retire the side. Taylor started the thirteenth and the Mariners had Dalbec, Walton, and Raleigh due up. Dalbec flew out to right, Walton struck out swinging, and Raleigh did the same. We closed out the inning, the game, and the World Series! Walls was named series MVP.
In just the seventh year of the franchise’s existence, we’ve won our first World Series! I tried to assemble a solid team at the beginning of the season but had no clue we’d be able to pull this off. We had to fight just to make the playoffs and then win six elimination games in the final two rounds. Hopefully, this is the first championship of many to come!
The playoff revenue was huge for our bottom line. We ended the regular season with a $9m deficit but were $19m in the green after winning the World Series. We also got a huge boost in fan interest, going from 66 to 98 by the end of the year.
The owner is good with my performance and gave me a three-year extension at the start of the offseason.
Here are the rest of the playoff results and MLB standings.
Top Prospects:
1.) John Edlich
I left Edlich off the list last year because I’ve been fooled too many times with international amateurs, but after a year in rookie ball I think he’s the real deal. He could be a 10 WAR pitcher if he reaches his full potential. It’s very tempting to see if he can reach that potential in my system, but there are some serious red flags. He suffered a torn rotator cuff at the end of the season, and he has low intelligence. The safe money is to trade him for something lower risk, but I might roll the dice since he has more potential than any pitcher in the game.
2.) Robby Teeter
Teeter makes my decision with Ohtani even more difficult. He’s an in-house replacement that looks like he can step into the majors and be a top-ten hitter from day one. His batting potential is so good it almost seems too good to be true. He can’t play in the field, but I don’t play Ohtani in the field either. The only thing Ohtani provides that Teeter doesn’t is good baserunning.
If I decide to bring Ohtani back I’ll have to trade Teeter. I can’t start two DHs, and it just doesn’t make sense to keep a talent like Teeter in the minors. I really have no clue what I’m going to do.
3.) Chad Arnold
I have pitching prospects with more potential, but Arnold is the safest bet to make the majors. His ratings are more actual than potential, he has high character, durable injury proneness, and has performed well at every level he’s played at. I’ll start him in AA next year.
4.) Josh Sheppard
Sheppard was the return in the Jack Flaherty trade, so he really needs to pan out. He didn’t do as well as I wanted this year, but I think a lot of that was bad luck. He had a BABIP of .365. He’s probably going to repeat A+, but I could move him up to AA if his control improves before next season.
5.) Sean Whiteman
Whiteman has filled out a bit since last year, but I was hoping for more progress. I’m also hoping his movement improves in the next year or two or he might not cut it in the majors. He’ll start next season at AA.
6.) Joey Hudson
Hudson doesn’t have the same potential as last season, but he could still be a very useful player. He didn’t perform as well as I wanted at A- but his ratings suggest he’s ready for A, so I’ll start him there next year.
7.) Andrew McGee
I think McGee has better offensive ratings than some of the guys on my major league roster. I’m not a fan of promoting teenagers out of the low minors but McGee has no business down there. He’ll begin next season at A.
8.) Chris West
I have a hoard of above average pitching prospects, so hopefully a few of them pan out and I have a good major league rotation in a few years. I’ll probably start West at A- next season due to his low control.
9.) Josh Langdon
Langdon has improved across the board since last season and should find himself in the majors in a few seasons if he stays healthy. He’ll repeat A- next year.
10.) Chris Ryan
Ryan has realized a lot of his potential since last season and looks just about ready for the majors. He’ll start the year at AA and could get called up as an injury replacement.
Honorable mentions:
Josh Berkner
Berkner had a great year in A+ and saw his ratings increase since last season. He got some nice experience at short stop this year and I’ll try to get him some time at left and right field next season. He looks like he’ll be an awesome utility player in a year or two.
Jesus Medina
I love relievers with this profile. He’s pretty much a top starter without the stamina. He pitched well in limited appearances but will probably repeat rookie ball.
Oscar Trevino
Trevino’s ratings are about the same as last year, but I still think he can be a useful utility player. I kind of forgot about the whole “left handers can’t play 2B, SS, or 3B”, so I force started him at third base and he did awful in the field. I’ll start him at A+ next year.
Joe McKinney
McKinney has improved tremendously since last season and looks like he’s only a year or two from the majors. He’ll start next season in A.
Josh Snellgrove
Snellgrove’s ratings have improved since last season and he finally broke through in rookie ball. He’ll start next season at A and I’m still hopeful his catcher ability improves some.
Promoted to MLB:
Josh Epps, Pat Dibartolo, Tim Mehler
Dropped from list:
Dan Gay
I had high hopes for Gay, but his ratings appear to have flamed out since last year. Low control seems to be the quickest way for a prospect to not make it. He’ll start next season at A+.
Mike Marrone
Marrone still looks like he’ll be a good hitter but not good enough to keep on the list. He’ll spend one more season in rookie ball.
Here are his ratings from last year.
Esteban Gutierrez
Gutierrez is the annual winner of the “international amateur free agent that loses all of his potential in two years” award. Here’s his 2026 ratings that I can look at like in the wolverine meme.
Future Outlook:
It’s hard not to be excited about a team that just won the World Series. We won it all and have the ability to bring back almost everyone. I have a really tough decision with Ohtani/Teeter but I think we’ll be fine no matter which way I decide.
The budget will be the same next season but should be significantly improved the year after that due to the increased fan interest. Here are the salaries heading into the offseason: (part 1, part 2).
submitted by ZenMasta61 to OOTP [link] [comments]

Is Standard Deviation a Good Mathematical way to Predict the Outcome of a Football Game?

Here we have looked at the success rate of Standard Deviation over a set of 2735 football match results. Firstly, a basic overview of what standard deviation is and how it can be used in a football match:
Standard deviation measures the dispersion of a data set relative to its mean. E.g. A volatile stock has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable blue-chip stock is usually rather low.
When it comes to using this in football, we can see how volatile a football teams scoring record is, for example:
Team A Could have played 5 Games and Scored 1,2,1,1,2 Goals in them 5 games, this result would yield a low standard deviation due to the numbers all being close to the average of 1.4 Goals.
Now, Team B may have had a bit of a different last 5 games, lets say they scored: 1,7,2,9,0 in their last 5 games. This would be considered as volatile because of how far the goal amounts are away from the average of 3.8 Goals.
To use this in Football Betting, we would want to have a look at the games where the standard deviation is the lowest because a teams scoring record is following an average.
When we look at standard deviation, the result outputs 4 different ranges. 68.3% Chance, 90% Chance, 95% Chance and 99% Chance. Lets use a live example to further explain this:
On the 11th February 2021, Al Ahli Play against Al Ittihad, the stats for Al Alhi Home Goals Scored are as follows:
Al Ahli Home Goals Scored: 0,0,1,1,2,2,2,3 Average: 1.38 Standard Deviation: 0.98
The Standard Deviation for this game is quite low with the grouping of numbers surrounding the average, this makes the predictions as follows:
68.3% Chance that Al Ahli will Score between 0.64 and 1.34 Goals 90% Chance that Al Ahli will Score between 0.42 and 1.57 Goals 95% Chance that Al Ahli will Score between 0.30 and 1.68 Goals 99% Chance that Al Ahli will Score between 0.09 and 1.90 Goals
You can see here that the higher the percentage chance, the higher the range goes.
Now we'll look at Al Ittihad's Goals Conceded: Al Ittihad Goals Conceded: 1,1,1,1,1,1,2,2 Average: 1.25 Standard Deviation: 0.43
This standard deviation is really low because Al Ittihad have conceded 1 goal 6 times in their 8 away games, this is considered as a non-volatile data set.
The ranges are as follows: 68.3% Chance that Al Ittihad will Concede between 0.28 and 0.59 Goals 90% Chance that Al Ittihad will Concede between 0.18 and 0.68 Goals 95% Chance that Al Ittihad will Concede between 0.13 and 0.73 Goals 99% Chance that Al Ittihad will Concede between 0.04 and 0.83 Goals
This means that standard deviation thinks there's a 99% Chance that Al Ittihad will score between 0.04 - 0.83 Goals which we would consider as 0 to 1 Goals.
If we have a look and compare the ranges between Al Ahlis Goals Scored Ranges and Al Ittihads Goals Conceded Ranges, we can try to make a prediction on how many goals Al Ahli will get...
68.3% Chance that Al Ahli will Score between 0.64 and 1.34 Goals 68.3% Chance that Al Ittihad will Concede between 0.28 and 0.59 Goals
90% Chance that Al Ahli will Score between 0.42 and 1.57 Goals 90% Chance that Al Ittihad will Concede between 0.18 and 0.68 Goals
95% Chance that Al Ahli will Score between 0.30 and 1.68 Goals 95% Chance that Al Ittihad will Concede between 0.13 and 0.73 Goals
99% Chance that Al Ahli will Score between 0.09 and 1.90 Goals 99% Chance that Al Ittihad will Concede between 0.04 and 0.83 Goals
If we look at the 99% Chance Range, if we average the low and the high ranges of both we get a Home Goals Prediction Range of 0.065 - 1.365.
We then perform this for the Away Teams Goals and then we can output a score prediction Range for both Teams.
Now to look at the results between 4th Jan - 7th Feb which is 2735 Games, looking at specifically the 90% range (explained above), we found the following:
Overall, For Home Goals Scored, 1775 (65%) Predictions were inside the 90% Score Range, 949 (35%) were not. Overall, For Home Goals Conceded, 1653 (61%) Predictions were inside the 90% Range, 1074 (39%) were not. Overall, For Away Goals Scored, 1667 (61%) Predictions were inside the 90% Range, 1062 (39%) were not. Overall, For Away Goals Conceded, 1764 (65%) Predictions were inside the 90% Range, 965 (35%) were not.
You can see the full Table of Results here: https://www.thatstatfootball.com/tempimg3
To Conclude, standard deviation could be used to predict a football game, the prediction results are all above 60% which is weighted towards correct predictions. In some areas in the heat map, the prediction percentage goes higher than 60%, for example, in a situation where the standard deviation is between 1 - 1.25, the method predicted that the home teams goals would fall in the 90% range, 74% of the time which is huge!
submitted by That_Stat_ to ThatStatFootball [link] [comments]

Cocaine and gambling??

Hey everyone so I deposited $500 on bet 365 last night and I've ran it up to $13 000 betting on European basketball, Soccer, badminton , table tennis pretty much everything that you can live bet on. I've been skiing non stop since last night and have almost burned through 4g's to myself and I'm not sure if I should keep going or stop. I am exhausted from watching numbers go up and down for over 36 hours hours now but my gut is telling me to keep going and bet it all on tonight's NHL/NBA games , what do you all think?
submitted by strive4thebest to cocaine [link] [comments]

Are you returning (or even new) to Neopets? Check out this guide! V2

Are you returning (or even new) to Neopets and have no idea what's going on? Well come right over to for a huge read on how to earn Neopoints, creating goals, account safety tips, and more! A lot has changed, but a lot remains the same for our dear website!
Note: This guide is primarily going to be directed at Non-Premium players, so information about Premium will only be touched on lightly.
If there’s any clarification needed, feel free to PM, or ask on the subreddit / Discord! Shout out to aredshroom for letting me make a c/p'd update lol and also other friends to help read over. o/
Last Updated: 1/11/21

First: The Important Things

Getting back on your feet: Earning NPs

  • One of the most common questions on the sub is about making NP. With the inflation/fluctuation of prices, and daunting price figures (like the Secret Lab Map), this can seem hard. There are plenty of ways you’ll be earning, saving, and spending. Also here are the fun results from an old Strawpoll of how NeoRedditors earn Neopoints.
  1. Dailies, of course! Here are a couple listings from TDN's Dailies Page, JN's Custom Dailies, and also good old /~Neo____Zafara!
  2. Trudy's Surprise! It's a relatively new daily that gives you free NP. The amount increases until the 25th day, where any spin will net you 100k even if you don’t hit 3-in-a-row.
  3. Ghoul Catchers is a Neo-mobile app where you can earn 50k a day just by playing the 1st/2nd level 50x a day. Here's JN's Guide and Petpage Guide! The app has been removed from the app store, but you can still play the game through an APK. Security FAQs on using an APK and the APK Download.
  4. Battledome (BD). I'll be mentioning the more relevant guides. JN IDB's Beginner's Guide to Battledome + /~SilverCyanide4, Faerie Ability guide, 1-Player Equipment Guide, STDEF Boost Table, and JN's BD Damage Calculator are useful links.
The reason to participate in the BD is that it gives you goodies like Tan/Red Codestones, Neocola Tokens, Armoured Neggs, and even Nerkmids (if premium) that you can sell for profit. Each time you beat an opponent, you’ll obtain something from the General pool, Dome pool, or Opponent pool until you hit the limit of 1500 NP + 15 items daily. Here’s a breakdown.
The General pool includes Tan/Red Codestones. The recommended starter opponent is the Kreludan Defender, who has an easy starting HP of 14, and drops relatively good items from his Dome + Opponent pool (Neocola tokens, Armoured Neggs, Genius Neggs). The other challenger that beginners frequent is the Chia Clown, who may drop Chocolate Ice Cream.
JN's Battlepedia has a listing of difficulty-specific prizes. With regards to the rate of certain Battledome drops, there is no correlation to difficulty aside from different item pools.
  • Play easy 3k games. 3k is the maximum you earn from each Flash Game except during special occasions (such as the week of Neopets' birthday). Check out /~fishyheart for easy quick to play games. Also, /~ChaChaFrancesca tracks NP ratios for on-site games, and /~AnnEstelle provides for mirrored games. Read the disclaimer on the mirrored game petpage (do not play the same game twice in one day)!
  • Do basic jobs at the Faerieland Employment Agency. You'll have to be fast to get profitable ones, but it's such a fast way to earn spare cash. Max limit is 5 jobs a day. I would check out JN's article and our own guide here!
  • Play Food Club. Lefty (/~Innocent) has a good rundown on what it's about. There’s a daily FC thread on this subreddit where you can follow experienced bettors as you start out.
The only tip is to bet consistently - you may lose quite a bit, but in the long run it definitely pays out – and with older accounts, you can earn a LOT when you win since you can bet more.
  • Stock Market is another thing players like investing in. It's recommended that you buy the cheapest stocks (15 NP). You should bookmark this page, so you can easily see which stocks are at 15 NP currently. You can buy a maximum of 1000 stocks a day, which equates to a 15k investment daily.
Keep in mind it's a long-term investment. Most people sell at 60 (+300% profit), but some hold for higher (100+). Neostocks is an informative Stock Market tracking site to see trending stocks and provides alerts if desired.
  • Try Restocking! Restocking means hanging around in official Neopets shops and playing the waiting game in order to quickly buy profitable items at a lower price, so you can later resell them to players at a higher price. There are restrictions on what items you can see based on your account age, but you can still restock Faerie Quest items, Faerie Employment Items, and other consumables (books, food, etc.) if your account is younger.
Newbie r79 items and below
10 days old r84 items and below
16 days old r89 items and below
1 month old r94 items and below
3+ months old No restrictions
For a more visual guide, here's a reference guide at /~Sanskrits and JN's Shop Directory is great to start learning which items are good!

Creating NeoGoals

  • Browse around on Neocolours! Once you figure out the species/colour combinations you want for your pets, there are plenty of ways to get them. You can paint, morph, or adopt! Sometimes, we get lucky users here who run Faerie Fountain giveaways as well.
Tip: Always check if a particular Morphing Potion is cheaper than Paint Brushes. It can save you a lot of NP.
  • Maybe obtain a Secret Lab Map to try for a lab-exclusive colour, or perhaps to zap pound pets into interesting colours to help them get adopted out, or just for the sheer thrill of zapping?
  • Collecting Avatars! /~Avatiers has a really good visual list. Build up your stats first, and you could drop by the Avatar NeoBoards to (politely) ask for lends. JN's Avatar Checklist provides code for you to put on a petpage, so lenders can easily check what you're missing.
  • Aspiring for the best Gallery? There are a lot of items to catch up on. JN has a fantastic Item Database where you can search for items!
  • Customisation? You’ll love Dress to Impress if you haven’t checked them out already.
  • Want to spruce up your userlookup with game trophies? Here's an awesome score tracker so you know what's a reasonable score needed for Bronze/SilveGold. Just click on the graphs in the rightmost column to view the score requirements for a trophy over the past few months.
  • Perhaps you just enjoy coding and beautifying your Lookups, Petpages, and more? What about a Neo Portfolio? There are plenty of premade artists around, but I’ll let you roam since there are really too many styles and pages to list. Feel free to ask around though!
  • This is a non-exhaustive list, of course. Make up your own goals and have fun!

Account Recovery

Here’s an updated FAQ at /~Wispalings on what to do if you think you are frozen, and /~Sarika_ambrielle has all the details of what you should keep track of if you need to send in a recovery ticket. It's a good idea to backup your info in case you ever have to prove that an account belongs to you.
We have a revamped Lost Account Guide, to add to those petpages mentioned above!
The TL;DR for account recovery:
  • Check that your account still exists! Your account may have been purged if it’s been inactive for years. Go here: http://www.neopets.com/userlookup.phtml?user=USERNAME, replace USERNAME with your own. If it is indeed purged, you most likely will need to start on a new account.
  • Once you’ve verified that the account still exists, it’s all about figuring out details to prove that your account is yours, like your birthdate, linked email (and/or pass emails), NC/Premium purchase history, etc. Here's a NeoBoard post explaining what they want really.
  • The Ticket System is now located at their support address: [email protected].
  • General tips for getting a ticket response: Always be truthful and respectful. Give as much useful info about your situation/account as you're able, post on the "Highway to Help" thread located in the Help NeoBoard. Keep your ticket updated once per week to show TNT you're an active user waiting. Please read the following petpage, /~Kaizsa, before posting on the "Highway to Help" thread.

Basic Security

  • Go to your Account Preferences. Block everything you don't want, ALWAYS check the birthday login prompt, and I'd recommend Plain Text Neomail. That makes it so any scripts sent through NM won't run.
  • Similarly for your PIN Preferences. Set a PIN on ALL accounts (main/sides should all be pinned), preferably different/regularly changed, and keep no exceptions on where a PIN is used. Check all the boxes.

FAQ

  • Why is everything broken? I can't even see the map.
Have you enabled Flash for your browser? Here's a JN article on how to do so. You will probably need to reenable Flash every time you completely close out of your browser.
If it's not Flash related, then a long list of things can be found here.
  • Why aren't any of the games working?
Adblock is struggling on Neopets, and by struggling I mean racking up multiple thousands of blocked ads and lagging the site. Right at this moment, it's a good idea to go grab uBlock Origin (Chrome / Firefox) for whatever browser you're using and use that over Adblock right now.
I would also check out this thread on How to Run Flash Games on Chrome with Adblock.
  • How do I leave Neopets Beta?
If, for whatever reason, you no longer want to be looking at the beta version of any of the pages we've previously discussed, simply click on the "View Classic Site" button in the profile menu to return to the site as all non-beta viewers see it. To get back into the beta view, click the "View Beta" link that's now on the right side of the "Logout" button for you. Do know that once the transition begins, you will not be able to return to Neopets Classic.
tl;dr: Click your pet in the top left corner, there should be a switch button. The Beta Mode will be permanent for everyone soon though.
  • IS NEOPETS GOING TO DIE BECAUSE FLASH DYING?
No, TNT has announced that they are working on converting their Flash works to HTML5. On December 16th, 2020, TNT released an End of Flash Update video detailing their progress.
  • Is Premium worth it?
That is up to you to decide and how active you are going to be on this site to make the most out of it. There are incentives such as Super Shop Wizard (SSW), if you are a prominent restocker, Species Change Perk (once every 365 days upon first use) that allows you to obtain nearly every converted colored species (no Draiks and Krawks) including the rare Ice Bori, and more. Check out JN's Guide on that.
That's it! If you've read all this way, thank you for your time. I hope this helps some players. ^ ^
submitted by Fruit_Loopita to neopets [link] [comments]

The Java-to-Microsoft Account migration is going to be a disaster.

TL;DR: Migration will make people lose their Minecraft access, will break 3rd-party launchers, actually be less secure, and more.
This is an opinion-based post (well, maybe part rant as well) meant to be a discussion. When the time comes for people to migrate their Mojang or Legacy accounts (for Java) it is going to be a disaster. We've been using these accounts for years, and it just sucks that it's MANDATORY that we now need to migrate, unlike to Legacy-to-Mojang account Migration. So many people are going to lose access to Minecraft Java simply because they just don't know the email and password they use with their Mojang and/or Microsoft account. Maybe they will be forced to create a Microsoft account, even if they don't want to. Perhaps they have two accounts and don't know which one to use. Thousands, maybe even millions of accounts lost just because of this stupid migration. And what if I don't want to migrate? What if I FORGET to migrate!? Well, say bye-bye to your account, because Microsoft is going to lock it and prevent you from signing in ever again. That means buying another copy of the game. I feel like this is all for Microsoft's personal gain, just so they can sell more Minecraft copies and show that they gained so many new accounts. Plus, who knows? Maybe they'll start collecting our personal information with Minecraft Java now.
What about third-party launchers like MultiMC? Broken, since Mojang accounts won't exist in a few months. And how are they going to get permission from Microsoft to let people sign in with their accounts? I don't know how all that works, but it seems like people will be forced to use the default launcher now even if they don't want to.
And what happens if your account gets hacked? Sure, Microsoft boasts that there will now be 2FA for Minecraft, but even with that, accounts can still be compromised. What if you pay for subscriptions like Xbox Live Gold or Microsoft (Office) 365? You could be putting your payment methods in danger like this. And don't forget, not everyone will have 2FA on. It would be very risky for the young kids using a parent's account. Young kids can get people to give them a parent's password and Outlook email. So it won't just be Minecraft you're losing, but part of your digital identity too.
Honestly I think that the migration should be optional. I bet many people would migrate, heck, even I would migrate, but not everyone does. Plus, I bet only a lot of people would migrate for the free cape. Not everyone wanted to switch to Mojang accounts when they were introduced. Making the migration mandatory is a bad, bad idea. Sure, tell people to migrate for the cape, but to make it mandatory is just absurd.
submitted by maddest_1ad to Minecraft [link] [comments]

Goldman expects 'muted' Q4 gaming results due to restrictions, but see 'rapid recovery' in regional markets outside Vegas; recommends $DKNG, $PENN, $RRR, $VICI

Goldman expects 'muted' Q4 gaming results due to restrictions, but see 'rapid recovery' in regional markets outside Vegas; recommends $DKNG, $PENN, $RRR, $VICI
"..we expect muted 4Q results given incremental restrictions/closures, but anticipate investors will look beyond near-term hurdles to the path of recovery for each company and/or idiosyncratic strategies to bolster margins and gain share longer-term. We continue to leverage our Recovery Framework outlined back in September (refreshed in November), which favors secular growth of Sports Betting/iGaming and the rapid recovery in the regional markets over Las Vegas..."
https://street-guru.com/opinion/dkng_penn_goldman-expects-muted-q4-gaming-results-due-to-restrictions-but-see-rapid-recovery-in-vegas-recommends-dkng-penn-rrr-vici_20210204_365/
https://preview.redd.it/d1b6et6yhif61.png?width=4129&format=png&auto=webp&s=75a616261dedd324c7c98c2b98a037940eb1e4d2
submitted by street-guru to streetguru [link] [comments]

The first open for Valorant Challengers started

The first open to classify the valorant challengers has already started in Latam. Today I am going to make my predictions of the 8 teams that will qualify in the south and point out some of their players to take into account for those who do not follow the Latin American scene and want to see these challengers.
I hope I have helped those who want to see the South Latin American challengers matches. Maybe one of these days I will do a similar one for the North Latin American teams.
Here you can see the results of the qualifier that is currently being played: https://valorantchampions.lat/competicion/torneo/stage-1-e296b7-valorant-champions-sur-open-1/etapa1
submitted by Gl1tchY_TG to ValorantCompetitive [link] [comments]

goldenbahis266 / goldenbahis 266 - Goldenbahis Yeni Giriş Adresi

goldenbahis266 / goldenbahis 266 - Goldenbahis Yeni Giriş Adresi
GOLDENBAHİS GİRİŞ İÇİN TIKLAYINIZ
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https://preview.redd.it/saamk4g3p3g61.png?width=1771&format=png&auto=webp&s=b0f9afcade590635f90c4b57a4f36bbe12bce461
goldenbahis266 bet sitesi, gereken lisanslara sahip olmasıyla en çok tercih edilen bahis siteleri arasında yer almaktadır. Güvenilir bahis siteleri kullanıcılarına öncelikle lisans açısından bir fırsat sunumu yapmaktadır. Bet severlerin casino siteleri ödeme bilgilerine sitelerin finans bölümlerinden ulaşmaları mümkündür. Beton Games goldenbahis 266 casino alanına giren kategorilerden biridir.
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